Events
NFL
Denver
Broncos
2 - 4
Arizona
Cardinals
1 - 5
October 18, 2018, 8:20 PM EDT
 | State Farm Stadium

Game Preview

Denver
Broncos
2 - 4
Arizona
Cardinals
1 - 5
October 18, 2018, 8:20 PM EDT
 | State Farm Stadium

  • We knew this was coming. After being spoiled with some great early-season matchups for Thursday Night Football, we come back to earth for a Week 7 matchup between the Denver Broncos and Arizona Cardinals. The Broncos have lost four straight games and have the second-worst spread record in the NFL at 1-4-1 ATS while the Cardinals are the second-lowest scoring team in the NFL but are 2-0 ATS in their two home games this season.

    The Broncos opened as slight 2-point favorites with a total of 40.5.

    SHARK BITES
    • The Broncos are 1-11 SU and ATS in their last 12 road games.
    • The Cardinals are last in the NFL with 76 total first downs.
    • The UNDER has hit in all 3 of the Cardinals’ home games this season.

    Broncos vs Cardinals Game Center

    Broncos have Been Fade Material on the Road

    The only teams that lose four straight games in the NFL are ones that can’t be trusted by bettors and the Broncos fit that description. Denver got its first spread win in Week 6 vs the Rams but the game was all but decided as the garbage time touchdown to Demaryius Thomas was merely a formality with 1:22 to go.

    What’s more concerning is how poor the Broncos offense looked against a beaten-up Rams defense as Denver went 3-for-10 on third downs while averaging a measly 3.5 yards per carry. That type of offensive production from Case Keenum and the Broncos will have them struggling to win against even the lowest competition in the NFL. Keenum ranks 21st among starting quarterbacks with an average of 7.24 yards per passing attempt and his ratio of seven touchdowns to eight interceptions is not what John Elway had in mind when he brought the 30-year-old to Denver.

    Keenum was brought in to provide a stabilizing force under center after having a career year in Minnesota but so far, he has not moved the needle. Last season, the Broncos finished 27th in the NFL at 18.7 points per game and after six games this season, that number has only increased to 20, which slots them at 26th in the NFL for scoring.

    This is why it’s hard to trust the Broncos going forward as their offense on paper should be much better but their choices in quarterbacks have hampered them offensively. It’s not surprising to see that the Broncos are 1-11 SU and ATS in their last 12 games on the road and 0-2 SU and ATS this season. It’s worth noting that Denver was a favorite in six of those road games so even oddsmakers must be dumbfounded by how poor the Broncos are away from Mile High Stadium.

    Offensive Ineptitude Makes Cardinals A Sucker Bet

    Speaking of terrible offenses, if the season ended today, the Cardinals’ points per game average (13.7) would be worse than any average posted in the NFL since 2011. Think about that for a second and think of the horrendous offensive football teams you have witnessed in that time. Yeah, the Cardinals are in that dreadful tier of awful offenses in 2018. Here’s where they stack up for the basic offensive categories in the NFL:

    • 31st in Passing Yards Per Game – 156.5
    • 32nd in Rushing Yards Per Game – 64
    • 31st in Points Per Game – 13.7
    • 32nd in First-Down Conversions – 76 percent
    • 32nd in Third-Down Conversions – 21.9 percent

    Nothing above should be encouraging bettors to want to jump on the Cardinals spread. That being said, they’ve somehow covered in three of their last four games, including their last two at home against the Bears and Seahawks.

    As for the Cardinals defense, they’ve been solid against the pass as they’re holding teams to 243 yards per game this season, which ranks 11th in the NFL. But their rush defense is porous, ranking 31st in stopping the run by allowing 151.2 yards per game.

    There are too many red flags from the Cardinals that make it near impossible for bettors to feel comfortable to wager on them.  But if Arizona backers are looking for a semblance of hope, they should know that the Cards are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 home games as an underdog and 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 in that spot.

    Low Total? No Problem!

    The total opened at 40.5 (since moved to 43) and while some teams in the NFL can almost fall backward into 25 points, this game has UNDER written all over it. The UNDER has hit in the Cardinals’ last five home games with an average combined score of 27.8 points per game. I’ve already detailed how poor Arizona’s offense is and the average combined score for all six Cardinals games this season is 36.8 points per game.

    My Pick Is…

    To take the UNDER 43 points. I know scoring is up for Thursday Night Football (49 points per game) but we’re looking at two terrible offensive teams that will struggle to score coming off short rest. Josh Rosen is only completing 55 percent of his passes this season to go with two touchdowns and two interceptions while Case Keenum is already looking like another Broncos bust. Take the UNDER and catch a nap.

Back to Matchup

Odds

Thursday, October 18 Thu Oct 18

Opening
Current
Denver
vsFinal
Arizona
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-2
-110
-125
o40.5
-110
+2
-110
+105
u40.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
-1
-110
-115
o42
-108
+1
-110
-105
u42
-112
Line History
Final

Edge Finder

16.88
 Total Score
20.00
211.29
 Passing Yards
213.29
113.82
 Rushing Yards
110.18
29:57
 Time on Field
30:14
63.41
 Number of Plays
67.29
5.13
 Yards Per Play
4.81
16.88
 Total Score
20.00
3.24
 First Quarter
2.41
5.71
 Second Quarter
7.53
2.53
 Third Quarter
3.29
5.41
 Fourth Quarter
6.41
211.29
 Passing Yards
213.29
33.59
 Pass Attempts
39.06
20.29
 Pass Completions
25.47
3.71
 Sacks
2.71
24.41
 Sack Yards
20.00
10.41
 Yards Per Pass
8.37
113.82
 Rushing Yards
110.18
26.12
 Rush Attempts
25.53
4.36
 Yards Per Rush
4.32
0.88
 Interceptions
1.00
1.53
 Fumbles
1.47
0.53
 Fumbles Lost
0.47
1.41
 Total Turnovers
1.47
6.65
 Penalties
6.94
57.12
 Penalty Yards
53.88
29:57
 Time on Field
30:14
63.41
 Number of Plays
67.29
5.13
 Yards Per Play
4.81
5.65
 Punts
4.00
46.57
 Punt Average
46.43
48.06
 Return Yards
71.82

Head To Head

DEN
 Stat Type ARI
5-1
 Record
1-5
5-1
 ATS
1-5
6-0
 O/U
6-0
34.00
 Score
18.83
147.33
 Rush Yds
98.33
32.67
 Pass Attempts
33.00
64.29
 Completion %
49.49
261.83
 Passing Yds
178.50
409.17
 Total Yds
276.83
1.83
 Turnovers
1.67
DEN
 Stat Type ARI
2-1
 Record
1-2
2-1
 ATS
1-2
3-0
 O/U
3-0
30.33
 Score
27.67
110.00
 Rush Yds
116.00
39.67
 Pass Attempts
35.67
59.66
 Completion %
43.93
296.00
 Passing Yds
173.00
406
 Total Yds
289
3.33
 Turnovers
1.00
Oct 5/14 (1 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type ARI
Home
Away
41
 Score
20
-8
 ATS
+8
47 o
 O/U
47 u
92
 Rush Yds
37
47
 Pass Attempts
34
65.96
 Completion %
35.29
476
 Passing Yds
178
568
 Total Yds
215
2
 Turnovers
0
Dec 12/10 (2 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type ARI
Away
Home
13
 Score
43
-4
 ATS
+4
44.5 o
 O/U
44.5 u
132
 Rush Yds
211
41
 Pass Attempts
38
46.34
 Completion %
39.47
156
 Passing Yds
146
288
 Total Yds
357
6
 Turnovers
1
Dec 17/06 (3 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type ARI
Away
Home
37
 Score
20
-3
 ATS
+3
44 o
 O/U
44 u
106
 Rush Yds
100
31
 Pass Attempts
35
67.74
 Completion %
57.14
256
 Passing Yds
195
362
 Total Yds
295
2
 Turnovers
2
Dec 29/02 (4 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type ARI
Home
Away
37
 Score
7
-13
 ATS
+13
42 o
 O/U
42 u
259
 Rush Yds
84
24
 Pass Attempts
30
66.67
 Completion %
53.33
191
 Passing Yds
123
450
 Total Yds
207
0
 Turnovers
2
Sep 23/01 (5 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type ARI
Away
Home
38
 Score
17
-9.5
 ATS
+9.5
46 o
 O/U
46 u
147
 Rush Yds
84
31
 Pass Attempts
28
70.97
 Completion %
57.14
234
 Passing Yds
224
381
 Total Yds
308
0
 Turnovers
3
Nov 5/95 (6 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type ARI
Home
Away
38
 Score
6
-8
 ATS
+8
39 o
 O/U
39 u
148
 Rush Yds
74
22
 Pass Attempts
33
77.27
 Completion %
57.58
258
 Passing Yds
205
406
 Total Yds
279
1
 Turnovers
2
Dec 15/91 (7 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type ARI
Home
Away
24
 Score
19
-11.5
 ATS
+11.5
35.5 o
 O/U
35.5 u
0
 Rush Yds
0
0
 Pass Attempts
0
57.58
 Completion %
57.58
0
 Passing Yds
0
0
 Total Yds
0
0
 Turnovers
0
Dec 16/89 (8 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type ARI
Away
Home
37
 Score
0
-7
 ATS
+7
38.5 o
 O/U
38.5 u
0
 Rush Yds
0
0
 Pass Attempts
0
57.58
 Completion %
57.58
0
 Passing Yds
0
0
 Total Yds
0
0
 Turnovers
0
Sep 18/77 (9 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type ARI
Home
Away
7
 Score
0
 ATS
 O/U
0
 Rush Yds
0
0
 Pass Attempts
0
57.58
 Completion %
57.58
0
 Passing Yds
0
0
 Total Yds
0
0
 Turnovers
0
Nov 4/73 (10 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type ARI
Away
Home
17
 Score
17
 ATS
 O/U
0
 Rush Yds
0
0
 Pass Attempts
0
57.58
 Completion %
57.58
0
 Passing Yds
0
0
 Total Yds
0
0
 Turnovers
0

Team Records

DEN
 Record ARI
2-4
 All
1-5
2-2
 Home
0-3
0-2
 Away
1-2
1-4-1
 ATS
3-2-1
1-2-1
 ATS Home
2-1
0-2
 ATS Away
1-1-1
2-4
 O/U
2-4
1-3
 O/U Home
0-3
1-1
 O/U Away
2-1
DEN
 Record ARI
1-3
 All
1-5
1-1
 Home
0-3
0-2
 Away
1-2
0-4
 ATS
3-2-1
0-2
 ATS Home
2-1
0-2
 ATS Away
1-1-1
1-3
 O/U
2-4
0-2
 O/U Home
0-3
1-1
 O/U Away
2-1
DEN
 Record ARI
1-1
 All
1-2
1-1
 Home
0-1
0-0
 Away
1-1
0-2
 ATS
2-1
0-2
 ATS Home
1-0
0-0
 ATS Away
1-1
0-0
 O/U
0-0
0-0
 O/U Home
0-0
0-0
 O/U Away
0-0
DEN
 Record ARI
2-4
 All
1-5
2-2
 Home
0-3
0-2
 Away
1-2
1-4-1
 ATS
3-2-1
1-2-1
 ATS Home
2-1
0-2
 ATS Away
1-1-1
2-4
 O/U
2-4
1-3
 O/U Home
0-3
1-1
 O/U Away
2-1

Gametime Weather

Weather
5:00 pm EDT Clear
26ºC / 79ºF
31% Humidity
0% Precipitation
0% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Retractable
Field Image
Arrow Image 4
 mph

Trends

  • Denver are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games.
  • Denver are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
  • Denver are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Arizona.
  • Denver are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games against Arizona.
  • Denver are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 13 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 14 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference West division.
  • Denver are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games played in October.
  • Denver are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played on a Thursday.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 10 games.
  • Arizona are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 7 games against Denver.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games at home.
  • Arizona are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
  • Arizona are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference West division.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games played in week 7.
  • Arizona are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing as the underdog.

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Kareem JacksonCBIs OUT 4 games; eligible to return Dec 24 vs New England, Suspension
Tim PatrickWRIs out for season, Achilles
Tre'Quan SmithWRIR, Groin
Caden SternsSIs out for season, Knee
Greg DulcichTEIR, Hamstring
Name Position Inj Desc
Antonio HamiltonCBIs "?", Groin
Carlos WatkinsDEIs out indefinitely, Biceps
Zach PascalWRIs "?", Personal
Elijah WilkinsonTIR, Neck
Kyzir WhiteLBIR, Elbow
Marquise BrownWRLeft last game, is "?", Heel
L.J. CollierDEIR, Biceps
Leki FotuDTIR, Hand
Michael WilsonWRIs "?", Shoulder
Emari DemercadoRBLeft last game, is "?", Concussion
Starling Thomas VCBIs "?", Ankle

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 14, 2018LAR20-23L+7/50W/U602973572701744440
Oct 7, 2018NYJ16-34L-1/42.5L/O92344436323189512-1
Oct 1, 2018KC23-27L+3.5/53.5L/U1592263851423044461
Sep 23, 2018BAL14-27L+5.5/46L/U120173293772653421
Sep 16, 2018OAK20-19W-6/45L/U168217385922813731
Sep 9, 2018SEA27-24W-3/42.5P/O146324470642423060
Dec 31, 2017KC24-27L-3/37.5L/O1102263361102693791
Dec 24, 2017WAS11-27L+3/39L/U159171330872993861
Dec 14, 2017IND25-13W-2.5/40.5W/U213249462701582281
Dec 10, 2017NYJ23-0W+1/40.5W/U841892735941100-2
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 14, 2018MIN17-27L+10/43.5P/O612082691952164110
Oct 7, 2018SF28-18W+3/40.5W/O56164220147300447-5
Sep 30, 2018SEA17-20L+3.5/40W/U921712631711603311
Sep 23, 2018CHI14-16L+5.5/39W/U531682211221943162
Sep 16, 2018LAR0-34L+11/43L/U5483137903424320
Sep 9, 2018WAS6-24L-2/43.5L/U681452131822474291
Dec 31, 2017SEA26-24W+8/38W/O1161432591011952961
Dec 24, 2017NYG23-0W-3/38.5W/U7421528943250293-1
Dec 17, 2017WAS15-20L+4/40L/U141145286311872181
Dec 10, 2017TEN12-7W+2.5/42W/U13612526165139204-2
View Game Logs
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