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Broncos Face First Road Test of the Season in Baltimore

After winning only five games a year ago, the Denver Broncos already have two victories through the first two weeks of the 2018 NFL season and will look to make it three in a row when they collide with the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium in Week 3. Sportsbooks opened the Broncos as 5-point road underdogs with a total of 43.

  • The Broncos are 1-9 SU and ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the Broncos’ last five games vs the Ravens (avg. combined score: 56.0).
  • The Ravens are 4-0 SU in their last four games after a loss.

Broncos vs Ravens Game Center

Broncos need to prove they can consistently perform on the road

The Broncos, who sit tied with the red-hot Kansas City Chiefs atop the AFC West, topped Seattle in Week 1 before eking out a one-point win over division rival Oakland last week. Case Keenum wasn’t exactly a world-beater for the Broncos against the Raiders after going 19-for-35 for 222 passing yards along with an interception, but it’s the Broncos’ sudden two-headed rushing attack that’s given the offense a major spark.

Rookie running backs Royce Freeman and Phillip Lindsay have been outstanding so far, with Lindsay’s 89 rushing yards per game ranking third in the NFL. Led by key rookie Bradley Chubb, Von Miller, Josey Jewell, Brandon Marshall and a strong secondary including Chris Harris Jr., Bradley Roby and Adam Jones, Denver’s defense looks like it’s going to give opposing offenses headaches all year long.

Denver has had major issues getting the job done on the road dating back to last year, as the Broncos are a brutal 1-9 SU and ATS in their last 10 road games. The Broncos are also 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five early-afternoon tilts.

Which Ravens team will show up in Week 3?

Baltimore’s 47-3 blowout of the Buffalo Bills in Week 1 was something to behold, but the followup trip to Cincinnati didn’t go as planned as the Ravens fell to the division rival Bengals 34-23 in Thursday Night Football. Starting quarterback Joe Flacco threw two interceptions and was sacked four times in the loss, while leading rusher Alex Collins only has 48 yards on the season.

The Ravens and Broncos have only met 13 times in the regular season, yet when they get together high-scoring affairs tend to follow. In the last five matchups between the squads, the OVER is 4-1 with an average combined score of 56 points. The OVER has also cashed in five of Baltimore’s past seven early-afternoon games and is 7-1 in the Broncos’ last eight September games.

Why I’m picking the Broncos to cover

The Ravens figure to be competitive in the AFC North in 2018, but I think their massive Week 1 win over the Bills has caused them to become a tad overvalued. Flacco simply hasn’t done enough over the last few years to convince me he’s still a dependable option under center, and the Broncos defense is in line to give him headaches all day. I think this game is going to be a lot closer than oddsmakers do, so give me the Broncos and the points.