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Chiefs Look to Put Broncos out of their misery on Christmas Day

It’s been an ugly stretch of games for the Denver Broncos as they’ve lost three of their last four, both straight up and ATS. As a result, a loss to the Chiefs on Sunday would dramatically decrease Denver’s odds of making the playoffs. Kansas City would love nothing more than to ruin Christmas for the Broncos players, and by association the players’ families, but the Chiefs have dropped five consecutive home games to Denver and have covered in just one of their last seven home games vs Denver.

Shark Bites
  • The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against their division.
  • The Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games at night.
  • The Broncos have scored just 16 points in their last two games.

The Chiefs are coming off an ugly home loss to the Titans in which they blew a 14-point lead, but they’ve been an excellent bounce-back team as they haven’t lost back-to-back games in over a year and are 3-0 ATS after an outright loss this season.

The game opened with a total of 37.5 points and if that number stays intact, it would be the lowest total of the season. The UNDER has hit in eight of Kansas City’s last 10 games and in four of Denver’s last five, but in their matchups against each other, they’ve topped that number in eight straight games.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Denver Broncos listed as 3.5-point underdogs at shops such as Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line for the betting matchup was at 38 over at 5Dimes.

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game picked a 28-16 victory for the Chiefs.. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Denver Broncos will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Sunday, as they are 8-6 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Kansas City Chiefs are 7-7 ATS. Denver is 6-8 against the over under total, while Kansas City is 4-10 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Kansas City vs Denver injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Kansas City Chiefs rated this week at No. 6 and the Denver Broncos sitting at No. 19.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Kansas City Chiefs No. 15-ranked offense (22.79 PPG) against a Denver Broncos defense that ranks No. 4 at 18.43 PPG. The Chiefs passing attack has averaged 230.86 yards per game, more than the Broncos give up through the air (183 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Denver Broncos feature the league's No. 24-rated road run defense, allowing 122.4 yards per game. The Kansas City Chiefs, meanwhile, ranks No. 29 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, Denver's aerial attack generated 334 yards but it was the Titans coming away with a 13-10 victory over Denver at Nissan Stadium.

Kansas City won its last game, 21-13 over Oakland on Thursday, behind a 101-yard receiving performance from Travis Kelce at Arrowhead Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Denver is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
  • Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
  • Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Kansas City is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 10 games
  • Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Denver home to Oakland, Sunday, January 1st
Kansas City at San Diego, Sunday, January 1st