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OVER Trending When Broncos & Saints Do Battle

Expectations were high for the Denver Broncos entering the 2016 NFL season, but the reigning Super Bowl champs have been an inconsistent bunch through nine weeks. Head coach Gary Kubiak will hope a Week 10 date with the New Orleans Saints can cure what ails his team after last week’s 30-20 setback to the Oakland Raiders.

Shark Bites
  • The Saints are 1-6 SU in their last seven games after consecutive wins.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Broncos' last four games as road underdogs.
  • The Broncos are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road after losing their most recent road game.

Sportsbooks initially set the Saints as 1.5-point home faves with a total of 48.

The OVER is a fantastic play when the Broncos and Saints square off. In the last five meetings between the clubs, the OVER is a solid 4-1. The OVER is also 4-0 in the Broncos’ last four as road underdogs.

New Orleans’ reputation for its high-flying offense and leaky defense has been on display in 2016. The Saints lead the NFL in yards per game at 434.5, but they’re third-last in yards allowed at 408.5. With that in mind, is it any surprise that the OVER is 8-1 in New Orleans’ last nine in Louisiana?

Denver has had a major edge in this series of late. In their last four matchups, the Broncos are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS.

After the loss to the Raiders, Denver now sits in third place in the AFC West behind Oakland and Kansas City. At this point, it’s far more likely the Broncos miss the postseason altogether than they win the Super Bowl again.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Bettors who were going with the New Orleans Saints in this one found them listed as 0-point on the betting line at Bovada. Fans betting on totals have seen that number set earlier in the week at 48 for Sunday.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 29-20 win for the Saints. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

New Orleans bring a 4-4 record (6-2 ATS) to the Week 10 betting matchup against the 6-3 Denver Broncos, who are 6-3 ATS against the spread. Over under betting has seen New Orleans go 5-3 so far and the Broncos go 5-4. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New Orleans vs Denver injuries news.

The Odds Shark Power Rankings have the New Orleans Saints at No. 11 and the Denver Broncos at No. 1 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits New Orleans's No. 2-ranked offense, averaging 30.25 PPG, against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 7 this week at 18.44 PPG. The Saints aerial game is averaging 326.25 yards per game, more than the Broncos secondary allows through the air, 183.33 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Denver Broncos feature the league's No. 26-rated road run defense, allowing 133 yards per game. The New Orleans Saints, meanwhile, ranks No. 21 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time out, Denver got 2 scoring strikes from Trevor Siemian in a 30-20 loss against Oakland.

In their last game, the Saints got 3 passing scores out of Drew Brees en route to a 41-23 win over the 49ers on Sunday at Levi's Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Denver is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
  • Denver is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
  • Denver is 3-4-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Denver home to Kansas City, Sunday, November 27th
New Orleans at Carolina, Thursday, November 17th