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Fading the Punchless Broncos is Becoming a Profitable Strategy

With the AFC West presumably up for the taking thanks to the recent struggles of the Kansas City Chiefs, the Denver Broncos and Oakland Raiders should be in a prime position to make a charge. But both teams have endured their share of struggles lately and are slowly fading out of the playoff picture, meaning their Week 12 matchup puts them in do-or-die mode.

Xbet opened the Raiders as 5-point home favorites with a total of 43.

Shark Bites
  • The Broncos are 1-6 SU and ATS in their last seven games as underdog.
  • The Broncos are 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against the Raiders.
  • The Raiders are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games after a loss.

Denver is currently on a six-game slide and finds itself as a betting underdog for the fifth time in that span. The Broncos have been horrendous for bettors, as they’ve failed to cover the spread in each of those games. Denver hit a new low last week when Andy Dalton tossed three touchdown passes in Cincinnati’s 20-17 win.

Poor quarterback play is the biggest reason for the Broncos’ slide, as Brock Osweiler hasn’t made much of a difference after replacing Trevor Siemian. The Broncos are 18th in passing offense and 15th in rushing while averaging 20.1 points per game – 24th in the NFL. Reports are indicating coach Vance Joseph is going to stick with Osweiler, with Paxton Lynch serving as his backup.

The Raiders are coming off a disappointing loss to the New England Patriots in Mexico City but are clearly in better shape than Denver at this point. The Raiders’ biggest weakness has been on the defensive front, as the unit has allowed at least 24 points in each game over the past month.

The OVER is trending when the Raiders play at home, as seven of Oakland’s last eight home games have gone above the closing total.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Denver Broncos listed as 5.5-point underdogs at shops such as Bovada. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER line for the betting matchup was at 44 over at 5Dimes.

OddsShark NFL prediction models pointed to a 28-16 result in favor of the Raiders on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Denver Broncos vs Oakland Raiders Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Denver Broncos will try to spoil the party on Sunday; they are 2-7-1 against the spread this season, while the Oakland Raiders are 3-6-1 ATS. Denver is 6-3-1 on the OVER/UNDER betting totals; Oakland is 5-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Oakland vs Denver injuries news.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Raiders at No. 24 and the Broncos at No. 26 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Oakland's No. 21-ranked offense, averaging 20.4 PPG, against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 28 this week at 25.9 PPG. The Raiders aerial game is averaging 236.8 yards per game, more than the Broncos secondary allows through the air, 197.7 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Broncos feature the league's No. 10-rated road run defense, allowing 107.75 yards per game. The Raiders, meanwhile, rank No. 16 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, the Broncos were Week 11 losers coming out on the wrong end of a 20-17 score against Cincinnati.

Oakland didn't make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Patriots as New England blasted them 33-8 in Week 11 action.

Betting Trends
  • Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Oakland is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Oakland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games
  • Oakland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Denver at Miami, Sunday, December 3
Oakland home to New York, Sunday, December 3