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Bye Weeks Have Been Incredibly Kind to the Saints

Wake Me Up When September Ends by Green Day is a great anthem for the Saints. While they’ve been dismal in the NFL’s opening month the last few seasons (1-9 straight up in their last 10), they’ve won 10 straight in October and they opened as field-goal favorites to beat the Lions off their bye week.

  • The Saints are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last 5 home games after a bye week.
  • The Lions are 6-54 SU in their last 60 games as underdogs of 4 points or more.
  • The Saints are 7-0 and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites in the month of October.

Helping the Saints’ chances on Sunday is the questionable status of Lions quarterback Matt Stafford. The highest-paid player in the NFL is damaged goods after Detroit’s loss to the Panthers last week in which he was sacked six times and he might not be able to suit up for Sunday’s tilt in the Big Easy.

If Stafford is unable to go, the Lions will call upon some guy named Jake Rudock to stand under center. The 2016 191st overall draft pick has never thrown a pass in the NFL and he won’t be helped much by a Detroit running game that’s averaging just 87.6 yards per game.

Whoever starts for Detroit, they’ll have to keep up with a Saints offense that’s been putting up 370.5 yards per game this season and bookmakers aren’t confident that either man can. In their last five games at home after a bye week, the Saints have averaged a mind-blowing 41.4 points. Not many teams are stopping – or keeping up with – that.

New Orleans is a rested squad going up against a Lions team that was battered by the Panthers. Expect the Saints to bring a ton of pressure against whoever is calling the signals on Sunday and expect them to air the ball out against a defense that allowed Cam Newton to throw for 355 yards and three touchdowns a week ago.

If they’re successful in those two areas of the game, the Saints should easily win and cover the spread in Week 6.

For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news, check out our new podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check us out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Detroit Lions were listed as 3-point underdogs at sportsbooks such as TopBet, with the total listed at 51.

OddsShark analytical formulas picked a 27-15 win for the Saints on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New Orleans Saints are 2-2 so far on the season, and 2-2 vs the point spread. The Detroit Lions, meanwhile, are 3-2 and 3-2 ATS. Those OVER/UNDER betting have seen New Orleans go 3-1 and Detroit go 3-2 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New Orleans vs Detroit injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 8 (New Orleans Saints) and the No. 18 (Detroit Lions) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits New Orleans' No. 12-ranked offense, averaging 23.25 PPG, against a Lions defense that ranks No. 11 this week at 19.4 PPG. The Saints aerial game is averaging 276.5 yards per game, more than the Lions secondary allows through the air, 256 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Lions feature the league's No. 5-rated road run defense, allowing 74.5 yards per game. The Saints, meanwhile, rank No. 25 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Matthew Stafford threw a pair of TD passes in Detroit's last match, but they were defeated anyway by Carolina 27-24 in Week 5 action on Sunday.

New Orleans' defense kept the Dolphins off the scoreboard last time out in a 20-0 win at Wembley Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 16 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
  • New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans' last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Orleans' last 14 games at home
  • New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit

Next Betting Matchups

Detroit home to Pittsburgh, Sunday, October 29
New Orleans at Green Bay, Sunday, October 22