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Don't Read Too Much into Giants' Past Playoff Success in Green Bay

If you’re into historical storylines, this weekend’s Green Bay Packers-New York Giants wild-card game is chock-full of them. But should you really rely on past narratives to predict what’s going to happen on Sunday? It’s a dangerous proposition, especially for sports bettors.

You likely already know the story by now. The Giants hit the road in 2007 and 2011 and beat the Packers on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field on their way to a pair of Super Bowl victories. The odds were against them each time, but the G-Men pulled off big upsets regardless. Sportsbooks opened the Giants as 4.5-point underdogs for the tilt.

Eli Manning played brilliantly in both games, and the signal-caller now has the most playoff victories at Lambeau among visiting quarterbacks. This is not the same Eli, though. Manning was a young pup in ’07 and in his prime in ’11, but that’s not the case anymore.

Manning’s been in decline for years now, and he isn’t getting any younger at the age of 36. An underwhelming 2016 campaign by the New Orleans native won’t inspire much confidence in Giants backers this time around. New York hasn’t topped 30 points in a contest this season and hasn’t reached 20 since late November.

Just how different is this Giants club? The only other remaining players from the ’11 team are either injured (Jason Pierre-Paul), long snapping (Zak DeOssie) or playing greatly reduced roles (Mark Herzlich, Will Beatty and Victor Cruz). Their head coach, Ben McAdoo, was an assistant with the Pack during both of those Giants runs.

If New York pulls out another big win in Wisconsin, it will have more to do with a team that’s allowed the second-fewest points in the regular season and owns the top red zone defense than with games that happened five and nine years ago.

They’ll have their hands full against a red-hot Packers team that’s won six in a row en route to an unlikely NFC North title. Aaron Rodgers is putting up video game numbers right now, as the superstar threw for 15 touchdowns and no interceptions in that span.

No matter which side you’re leaning toward in this one, don’t let the past have too much of an impact in your decision-making. Sharp bettors live in the now and understand prior storylines and trends mean nothing come kickoff.

Looking for more analysis on this game? Check out Rob Trites’ preview here.