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Eagles vs Patriots: Stats Bettors Will Love For Super Bowl 52

Below are 18 useful, if not fascinating, betting numbers for the 2018 Super Bowl. Whiz through them to help you make a winning pick and impress your friends with sharp knowledge at your Super Bowl party. 

Philadelphia Eagles vs New England Patriots -5, 48.5 

1. Nevada sportsbooks have won money on 25 of the last 27 Super Bowls. They lost roughly $2.5 million in 2008 (Giants beat Patriots 17-14 as 12-point underdogs) and roughly $400,000 in 1995 (49ers beat Chargers 49-26 as 18.5-point favorites).  

2. Last year was the most money wagered on a Super Bowl ever. Nevada Gaming Control Board reported $138.4 million was bet on Super Bowl 51 in the state.

3. Sportsbooks had their highest win percentage in the 2005 Super Bowl between the – gulp – Patriots and Eagles. Books earned a win of 17 percent and $15.4 million. The Patriots won 24-21 but failed to cover as 7-point favorites. 

4. Last year’s Super Bowl was the first to go to overtime in 51 Super Bowls in the Patriots’ 34-28 win. “Yes” pays 8-1 if you think overtime will happen again this year. 

5. The team that has won the Super Bowl has covered the game outright 88.2 percent of the time. That’s 45 of 51 Super Bowls. The normal NFL average for teams that cover when they win is around 80 percent.  

6. New England has played in two of the six Super Bowls where teams won but did not cover. Those came in 2005 (a 24-21 win over Philadelphia at -7) and in 2004 (a 32-29 win over Carolina at -7). Both were very big wins for the house of 17 percent and 15.3 percent, respectively. 

7. The last time a team won but didn’t cover? 2009. Pittsburgh beat Arizona 27-23 but didn’t cover as a 7-point favorite. 

8. Since 1984, the NFC has gone 6-2 SU and ATS when No. 1 conference seeds face off in the Super Bowl (5-3 OU). The team that won the game also covered the spread all eight times.

9. New England is 28-9 against the spread over the last two seasons including playoffs. That’s the most a team has ever covered in the NFL over a two-season stretch.

10. New England has covered the spread in 13 straight games when favored by 7 points or less. 

11. Yards per play is a common stat viewed by professional bettors to handicap football games. The Eagles have a +0.5 net yards per play, which is slightly better than the Patriots at +0.3 net yards per play.  

12. The OVER has cashed in four of the last five Super Bowls. 

13. The OddsShark Super Computer has the Patriots winning by a score of 29.3 to 16.9. The Super Computer is 51-44-5 against the spread over its last 100 NFL games for a profit of $281 if you’re betting $100/game. 

14. The Eagles and Patriots are the No. 1 and 2 average scoring margin per game leaders in the NFL. The Eagles average +11.0 overall while the Patriots average +10.4. It’s worth noting the Eagles average +8.8 with Nick Foles starting at QB.  

15. New England has an average scoring margin of +15 points per game over its last three games while the Eagles average +10. Look familiar? (Most books had the Patriots favored by 5 points through much of the first week after the conference championships.)

16. The Eagles went 4-2 straight up and against the spread as underdogs of 1 to 7 points this season including playoffs. 

17. Tom Brady has averaged 296 passing yards in his seven Super Bowls. The OVER/UNDER on his passing yards this Super Bowl is set at 285.5 (-125 OVER). 

18. Underdogs have covered 13 of the last 17 Super Bowls. 

Follow me on Twitter @JonnyOddsShark

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