Divisional Playoff action on Saturday will see the Falcons looking to boost their win total and cover the spread when the Packers visit Georgia Dome.
Falcons Packers Betting Line: Bettors looking to back the visiting Packers in this one will find them as 1-point underdogs, while the total sits at 45.5.
The Falcons sit at 13-3 (11-5 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Packers are currently 10-6 (9-7 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Atlanta is 9-6-1 OU, and Green Bay is 6-10 OU.
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Power Rankings / Prediction: The Falcons - Packers odds would favor the Falcons if the lines were set according to power ranks. Atlanta is rated No. 7 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Packers sit at No. 5. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 30-29 win for the Packers.
Green Bay was a 21-16 Sportsbook in its last match on the road against the Eagles. They covered the 1.5–point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 37 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Aaron Rodgers dusted the Eagles secondary for 3 TDs last time out as the Packers defeated Philadelphia 21-16 at Lincoln Financial Field.
Atlanta was a 31-10 Sportsbook in its last match at home against the Panthers. They covered the 14.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score of 41 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.
How They Matchup: Offensively, the game matches up Atlanta's #5-ranked offense (25.9 PPG) against a Packers defense that ranks #2 at 15 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 222.9 yards per game, more than the Packers give up through the air (194.2 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Packers feature the league's #16-rated road run defense, allowing 113.6 yards per game. Atlanta, meanwhile, ranks #15 in rushing offense at home.
Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in January are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4
Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in January are 4-6
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few Packers at Falcons trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Green Bay's last 9 games on the road
Green Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Packers vs Falcons Prop Odds courtesy of Sportsbook :
Total Passing Yards – Aaron Rodgers
Total Rushing Yards – James Starks
Total Receiving Yards – Greg Jennings
Total Passing Yards – Matt Ryan
Over /Under 240.5
Total Rushing Yards – Michael Turner
Total Receiving Yards – Roddy White