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Free NFL Pick from Linebacker: Cowboys vs Eagles

Free NFL Pick Linebacker Cowboys Eagles

Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles (PHI -6.5, O/U 43)

Dak Prescott and the Cowboys head to Philly on Sunday to face the reigning Super Bowl champions. Philadelphia opens the game as a 6.5-point home favorite, but we like Dallas to cover the spread. Linebacker projects a final score of 23.6 - 20.3 in favor of the Eagles, giving us a solid play on Dallas +6.5. Linebacker suggests a wager of $73 on DAL +6.5 for a $100 average bettor.

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Why will Dallas cover the spread?

  • Linebacker projects the Cowboys to finish with more total yards than the Eagles (337.6 vs 330.3). Philly’s defense ranks 25th in passing yards allowed per game and 21st with 4.5 yards allowed per carry. 
  • Dallas ranks fourth in yards per carry thanks to the contributions of Dak Prescott. Prescott is fourth among QBs with 30.9 rushing yards per game, while the Eagles have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards to opposing QBs this season.
  • The Cowboys have an impressive defense this season. Dallas ranks fourth in total yards allowed per game, third in scoring defense, second in opponents’ yards per carry and 11th in sacks.
  • Amari Cooper’s addition should prove to be massive against a shaky Eagles secondary. Philly has allowed the fourth-most receptions and fifth-most receiving yards to opposing WRs this season.

 

How to bet the total in Cowboys @ Eagles:

Linebacker projects a final score of 23.6 - 20.3 in favor of the Eagles. With 43.9 projected points and an OVER/UNDER of 43, we have a small preference on the OVER. Linebacker suggests a $13 wager on OVER 43 for a $100 average bettor.

Need-to-know stats for Cowboys @ Eagles:

  • 7 catches, 67.4 yards, 0.42 TDs – Zach Ertz has been the leading receiver in all facets for the Eagles this season, and we project him to continue that trend this Sunday. Ertz projects to lead the team in catches and yards, despite the addition of Golden Tate.
  • 10 touches, 47.7 total yards – Wendell Smallwood
  • 11 touches, 53.2 total yards – Corey Clement
  • Running back has been a true committee approach for the Eagles since Jay Ajayi went down with a torn ACL. Clement and Smallwood project for nearly equal touches, with Smallwood receiving eight carries and Clement seeing nine. Both backs project for two catches, but Clement gets the slight edge in total touches and yards.
  • 4 catches, 52 yards, 0.25 TDs – Amari Cooper posted 5/58/1 on eight targets in his first game as a Cowboy. Linebacker projects him to put up similar numbers against the Eagles, but volume will keep his ceiling in check as Dallas is still a run-first team.
  • 19 rushes, 85.4 yards, 0.55 TDs4 catches, 40.7 yards, 0.16 TDs – Ezekiel Elliott remains the go-to guy in Dallas despite Cooper’s arrival. Linebacker projects Zeke to finish with 23 touches for 126.1 yards, with two-thirds of those yards expected to come on the ground. He also has a solid chance to reach the end zone via the run or pass, averaging 0.55 rushing TDs and 0.16 receiving TDs per game in our simulations.

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