Events
NFL
Green Bay
Packers
4 - 4 - 1
Seattle
Seahawks
4 - 5
November 15, 2018, 8:20 PM EST
 | Lumen Field

Game Preview

Green Bay
Packers
4 - 4 - 1
Seattle
Seahawks
4 - 5
November 15, 2018, 8:20 PM EST
 | Lumen Field

  • Familiar foes in the Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks will renew acquaintances for Week 11’s Thursday Night Football matchup and neither team expected to be in this scenario after 10 weeks. The Packers (4-4-1 SU) and Seahawks (4-5 SU) are both fighting for their playoff lives with the Pack still searching for their first road win of the season while the Seahawks are coming off back-to-back losses.

    The Seahawks are 2.5-point favorites with a total of 49.

    SHARK BITES
    • The Seahawks are 7-1 SU and 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday Night Football games.
    • The Packers are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
    • The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Packers’ last 9 night games.

    Packers vs Seahawks Game Center

    Despite Recent Losses, Seattle Loves Prime Time

    Losing their last two games by a combined 13 points, the Seahawks have to be kicking themselves for how they’ve seemingly cost themselves in the closing quarters of games. In those two losses to the Chargers and Rams, the ’Hawks were either leading or in a position to take the lead going into the fourth quarter but ended up letting the game slip away against superior offenses.

    Where the Seahawks may be able to get back on track is on the ground as Seattle leads the league in rushing yards per game at 152.2 but has only scored six rushing touchdowns this season (ranked 19th). While the touchdown numbers aren’t inspiring, the fact that the Packers give up over 120 yards rushing per game (rank 22nd) could be a winning formula for the Seahawks, who will try to limit Aaron Rodgers’ time on the field.

    Isolating how the Seahawks have done on Thursday Night Football, it paints a nice picture for Seattle’s chances to win and cover the spread. The Seahawks are 7-1 SU and 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games on TNF (dating back to December 2011) with an average win margin of 12.7 points per game.

    Look at how quarterback Russell Wilson has performed on Thursdays:

    • 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS in 7 games
    • 65.2 completion percentage
    • 12 TDs to 4 interceptions
    • 8.08 yards per attempt

    Wilson’s track record on this stage along with the fact that Seattle is still a top-five ranked defense against the pass should make bettors feel confident in backing the Seahawks to cover the spread.

    If bettors still aren't sure, the "checkmate trend" to support Seattle is its 17-2 SU and 14-3-2 ATS in their last 19 games in prime time.  

    Packers’ Road Woes Are Hard To Ignore

    At 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in four road games this season, the Packers are a mess. To be fair, two of those losses were to the Patriots and Rams but when you lose each road game by an average of 10.5 points, there’s more to it than playing two of the top four teams in the league.

    Looking through the Packers’ offensive and defensive stats this season, there’s no particular phase of the game where they stand out other than passing offense with Green Bay ranking sixth at 287.7 yards per game to go with 17 touchdowns. Aaron Rodgers’ knee may be back to full strength but considering how strong the Seahawks are against the pass, the Pack may need to consider a different strategy.

    Enter Aaron Jones. The Packers running back exploded for 145 yards and two touchdowns vs the Dolphins and made up for his costly fumble vs the Patriots in Week 9. He’ll need to have another week of dominance as the Seahawks allow over 118 yards per game on the ground and it may be Green Bay’s only shot to sustain drives against a defense that is stingy against the pass.

    I’m not optimistic that the Packers can cover the spread in this one but I can’t fault bettors for wanting to back Rodgers and the Pack after watching the Seahawks implode the last two weeks.

    Should You Wager On The Total?

    The total opened at 49 in this NFC showdown and I don’t have a strong opinion either way for what the final score would be due to the conflicting trends:

    • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Packers’ last nine games at night. Average combined score: 49
    • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Seahawks’ nine games this season. Average combined score: 45
    • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Packers’ last six games. Average combined score: 47.6
    • The total has gone OVER in four of the last five games in this matchup. Average combined score: 44.2

    Those trends all seem to point to an UNDER based on the average combined score. But the OVER has hit in seven of 10 TNF games this season with an average combined score of 53.3 points per game so I’m staying away with a lean to the OVER due to the volatility of Thursday games this season.

    My Pick Is…

    To take the Seahawks to cover the spread. I think the Seahawks are the better team and the Packers can’t seem to get out of their own way on the road as evidenced by costly fumbles vs the Rams and Patriots. The Seahawks will control the clock with their ground game and eke out a three-point win.

Back to Matchup

Odds

Thursday, November 15 Thu Nov 15

Opening
Current
Green Bay
vsFinal
Seattle
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+2
-110
+123
o49.5
-107
-2
-110
-145
u49.5
-107
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+3
-105
+139
o49
-113
-3
-115
-159
u49
-107
Line History
Final

Edge Finder

21.76
 Total Score
23.89
213.65
 Passing Yards
231.17
124.29
 Rushing Yards
119.28
31:54
 Time on Field
28:55
61.82
 Number of Plays
61.50
5.47
 Yards Per Play
5.70
21.76
 Total Score
23.89
4.71
 First Quarter
5.39
6.94
 Second Quarter
7.22
4.41
 Third Quarter
3.83
5.35
 Fourth Quarter
7.28
213.65
 Passing Yards
231.17
33.12
 Pass Attempts
33.78
21.41
 Pass Completions
23.56
1.88
 Sacks
2.72
15.18
 Sack Yards
20.78
9.98
 Yards Per Pass
9.81
124.29
 Rushing Yards
119.28
26.82
 Rush Attempts
25.00
4.63
 Yards Per Rush
4.77
0.71
 Interceptions
0.72
1.47
 Fumbles
1.11
0.59
 Fumbles Lost
0.67
1.29
 Total Turnovers
1.39
5.24
 Penalties
6.17
43.94
 Penalty Yards
49.11
31:54
 Time on Field
28:55
61.82
 Number of Plays
61.50
5.47
 Yards Per Play
5.70
3.18
 Punts
3.89
42.84
 Punt Average
48.51
110.12
 Return Yards
64.67

Head To Head

GB
 Stat Type SEA
6-4
 Record
4-6
7-2-1
 ATS
2-7-1
6-4
 O/U
6-4
27.30
 Score
19.50
115.50
 Rush Yds
136.40
32.40
 Pass Attempts
30.40
66.67
 Completion %
54.61
218.90
 Passing Yds
162.20
334.4
 Total Yds
298.6
1.20
 Turnovers
2.60
GB
 Stat Type SEA
3-0
 Record
0-3
3-0
 ATS
0-3
1-2
 O/U
1-2
27.33
 Score
12.00
101.33
 Rush Yds
115.00
33.33
 Pass Attempts
32.00
71.00
 Completion %
57.29
252.33
 Passing Yds
186.00
353.67
 Total Yds
301
0.67
 Turnovers
3.00
Sep 10/17 (1 of 10)
GB
 Stat Type SEA
Home
Away
17
 Score
9
-2.5
 ATS
+2.5
49.5 o
 O/U
49.5 u
84
 Rush Yds
90
42
 Pass Attempts
27
66.67
 Completion %
51.85
286
 Passing Yds
135
370
 Total Yds
225
1
 Turnovers
1
Dec 11/16 (2 of 10)
GB
 Stat Type SEA
Home
Away
38
 Score
10
+3
 ATS
-3
47 o
 O/U
47 u
93
 Rush Yds
136
25
 Pass Attempts
39
72.00
 Completion %
56.41
237
 Passing Yds
218
330
 Total Yds
354
0
 Turnovers
6
Sep 20/15 (3 of 10)
GB
 Stat Type SEA
Home
Away
27
 Score
17
-3.5
 ATS
+3.5
49 o
 O/U
49 u
127
 Rush Yds
119
33
 Pass Attempts
30
75.76
 Completion %
63.33
234
 Passing Yds
205
361
 Total Yds
324
1
 Turnovers
2
Jan 18/15 (4 of 10)
GB
 Stat Type SEA
Away
Home
22
 Score
28
+8.5
 ATS
-8.5
45 o
 O/U
45 u
135
 Rush Yds
194
34
 Pass Attempts
30
55.88
 Completion %
50.00
171
 Passing Yds
203
306
 Total Yds
397
2
 Turnovers
5
Sep 4/14 (5 of 10)
GB
 Stat Type SEA
Away
Home
16
 Score
36
+4.5
 ATS
-4.5
47 o
 O/U
47 u
80
 Rush Yds
207
33
 Pass Attempts
28
69.70
 Completion %
67.86
175
 Passing Yds
191
255
 Total Yds
398
1
 Turnovers
1
Sep 24/12 (6 of 10)
GB
 Stat Type SEA
Away
Home
12
 Score
14
-3
 ATS
+3
45.5 o
 O/U
45.5 u
84
 Rush Yds
127
39
 Pass Attempts
21
66.67
 Completion %
47.62
184
 Passing Yds
111
268
 Total Yds
238
0
 Turnovers
0
Dec 27/09 (7 of 10)
GB
 Stat Type SEA
Home
Away
48
 Score
10
-13.5
 ATS
+13.5
43.5 o
 O/U
43.5 u
153
 Rush Yds
115
29
 Pass Attempts
37
55.17
 Completion %
51.35
264
 Passing Yds
176
417
 Total Yds
291
0
 Turnovers
4
Oct 12/08 (8 of 10)
GB
 Stat Type SEA
Away
Home
27
 Score
17
-0
 ATS
0
44.5 o
 O/U
44.5 u
113
 Rush Yds
113
30
 Pass Attempts
23
70.00
 Completion %
52.17
200
 Passing Yds
64
313
 Total Yds
177
1
 Turnovers
2
Jan 12/08 (9 of 10)
GB
 Stat Type SEA
Home
Away
42
 Score
20
-7.5
 ATS
+7.5
43.5 o
 O/U
43.5 u
235
 Rush Yds
28
23
 Pass Attempts
33
78.26
 Completion %
57.58
173
 Passing Yds
172
408
 Total Yds
200
2
 Turnovers
1
Nov 27/06 (10 of 10)
GB
 Stat Type SEA
Away
Home
24
 Score
34
+10
 ATS
-10
42 o
 O/U
42 u
51
 Rush Yds
235
36
 Pass Attempts
36
61.11
 Completion %
47.22
265
 Passing Yds
147
316
 Total Yds
382
4
 Turnovers
4

Team Records

GB
 Record SEA
4-4-1
 All
4-5
4-0-1
 Home
1-2
0-4
 Away
3-3
4-5
 ATS
5-3-1
3-2
 ATS Home
2-1
1-3
 ATS Away
3-2-1
5-4
 O/U
3-6
3-2
 O/U Home
1-2
2-2
 O/U Away
2-4
GB
 Record SEA
2-3-1
 All
3-3
2-0-1
 Home
1-1
0-3
 Away
2-2
2-4
 ATS
4-2
1-2
 ATS Home
2-0
1-2
 ATS Away
2-2
5-1
 O/U
2-4
3-0
 O/U Home
1-1
2-1
 O/U Away
1-3
GB
 Record SEA
1-1-1
 All
1-2
1-0-1
 Home
0-1
0-1
 Away
1-1
1-2
 ATS
2-1
1-1
 ATS Home
1-0
0-1
 ATS Away
1-1
0-0
 O/U
0-0
0-0
 O/U Home
0-0
0-0
 O/U Away
0-0
GB
 Record SEA
4-4-1
 All
4-5
4-0-1
 Home
1-2
0-4
 Away
3-3
4-5
 ATS
5-3-1
3-2
 ATS Home
2-1
1-3
 ATS Away
3-2-1
5-4
 O/U
3-6
3-2
 O/U Home
1-2
2-2
 O/U Away
2-4

Gametime Weather

Weather
5:00 pm EST Partly Cloudy
11ºC / 52ºF
77% Humidity
6% Precipitation
50% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 6
 mph

Trends

  • Green Bay are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of Green Bay's last 18 games.
  • Green Bay are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Seattle.
  • Green Bay are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games against Seattle.
  • Green Bay are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
  • Green Bay are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 7 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
  • Green Bay are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference West division.
  • Green Bay are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games played in November.
  • Seattle are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games.
  • Seattle are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home.
  • Seattle are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Seattle's last 18 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference North division.
  • Seattle are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games played in week 11.
  • Seattle are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games played on a Thursday.

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
David BakhtiariTIs out for season, Knee
Aaron JonesRBIs "?" Monday vs NY Giants, Knee
Jaire AlexanderCBIs "?" Monday vs NY Giants, Shoulder
Josiah DeguaraTEIs "?" Monday vs NY Giants, Hip
Eric StokesCBIR, Hamstring
Christian WatsonWRLeft last game, is "?" Monday vs NY Giants, Hamstring
Luke MusgraveTEIR, Abdominal
Emanuel WilsonRBIR, Shoulder
Name Position Inj Desc
Uchenna NwosuLBIs out for season, Pectoral
Phil HaynesGIs "?" Sunday vs San Francisco, Toe
Jordyn BrooksLBIs "?" Sunday vs San Francisco, Ankle
Kenneth Walker IIIRBIs "?" Sunday vs San Francisco, Oblique
Dareke YoungWRIs "?" Sunday vs San Francisco, Abdominal
Zach CharbonnetRBLeft last game, is "?" Sunday vs San Francisco, Knee
Jerrick Reed IISIs out for season, ACL

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Nov 11, 2018MIA31-12W-12.5/48.5W/U195182377131163294-1
Nov 4, 2018NE17-31L+5/56.5L/U1182503681233104331
Oct 28, 2018LAR27-29L+7.5/57W/U1062533591352814161
Oct 15, 2018SF33-30W-9/46.5L/O116405521174227401-3
Oct 7, 2018DET23-31L+1/50L/O98423521941702643
Sep 30, 2018BUF22-0W-9/44W/U1412824235887145-1
Sep 23, 2018WAS17-31L-2.5/46L/O1002403401662203860
Sep 16, 2018MIN29-29T+1.5/45W/O9825335168412480-1
Sep 9, 2018CHI24-23W-7/45L/O693013701391552941
Dec 31, 2017DET11-35L+7.5/44.5L/O103153256513053564
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Nov 11, 2018LAR31-36L+9.5/51W/O2731414141493074561
Nov 4, 2018LAC17-25L-1/48.5L/U1542023561602153751
Oct 28, 2018DET28-14W+3/48W/U17623741334297331-3
Oct 14, 2018OAK27-3W-3/48W/U15521436979106185-1
Oct 7, 2018LAR31-33L+7.5/50.5W/O190183373155313468-2
Sep 30, 2018ARI20-17W-3.5/40L/U17116033192171263-1
Sep 23, 2018DAL24-13W-1/40W/U113182295166137303-3
Sep 17, 2018CHI17-24L+4.5/42.5L/U74202276861852710
Sep 9, 2018DEN24-27L+3/42.5P/O642423061463244700
Dec 31, 2017ARI24-26L-8/38L/O101195296116143259-1
View Game Logs
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