Harry’s Alleged Locks

Harry’s Alleged Underdog Lock of the 2020 Virtual NFL Draft & Other ‘Odd’ity Props

More First-Round Selections

Big Ten players -260
Alabama players +175

Stay with me as I dissect this prop and why I think Alabama players will outshine the entire Big Ten Conference in the first round of the NFL draft on April 23.

First, the Crimson Tide have four guaranteed first-rounders in QB Tua Tagovailoa, OL Jedrick Wills and receivers Henry Ruggs and Jerry Jeudy. Those four will go within the first 15 picks of the first round. Xavier McKinney (led Bama in tackles last season with 95) is predicted by most to be the first safety selected and cornerback Trevon Diggs is a -200 favorite to go in the first round. If that holds true, that would give Alabama six first-round picks.

The Big Ten has three bona fide studs in Chase Young and Jeff Okudah, both from Ohio State, and Iowa offensive lineman Tristan Wirfs. All three could easily go in the first 10 selections. After that it gets a bit shaky for the Big Ten to get to the magic number of six for just even a PUSH on the bet.

Wisconsin running back Jonathan Taylor put up fantastic numbers in Madison but he’s still a -350 favorite to not be selected in the Sportsbook round. Edge defender Yetur Gross-Matos of Penn State (his OVER/UNDER is around 28.5) is a toss-up to be a first-rounder as are offensive lineman Cesar Ruiz of Michigan and edge defender A.J. Epenesa of Iowa. I know anything can happen during the draft, but in 70 percent of the projections and mock drafts I have seen, Ruiz and Epenesa are being selected in the second round, and Gross-Matos has been in the first round in about half of the mocks.

Assuming we go ahead and give a yes to Gross-Matos, that would push the Big Ten to four first-rounders, and let’s be really generous and give the conference one more (safety Antoine Winfield Jr. of Minnesota could be a sleeper after posting 85 tackles and seven picks last season). That gets the number to five.

Applying that information/analysis, the Alabama Crimson Tide as a +175 underdog win this wager with six first-round selections to five for the Big Ten and that’s my underdog lock of the 2020 virtual NFL draft. At worst, this bet is a PUSH at 6-6.

Harry’s Pick: Alabama players +175

'Odd'ity NFL Draft Props

How many times will the broadcast experience technical difficulties?

OVER 4.5 -120
UNDER 4.5 -120

Look, the simple truth is that this is all we’ve got so can we please, please, please!! have no issues, especially when a pick is being made. Can you imagine the Raiders going to make their first pick ever as the Las Vegas Raiders and right after commissioner Roger Goodell says, “with the 12th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the LAS VEGAS Raiders select—” and your television screen freezes. Let’s just root for a fun draft with not too many issues and hope the UNDER is the way to go.

Harry’s Pick: UNDER 4.5 -120

Will Roger Goodell be wearing a suit at the beginning of the NFL draft?

YES -1100
NO +575

I suppose he will at the beginning but since he is doing the selections from the basement of his house, it would be nice to see him have a good time with this later on in the first round and get comfortable.

Harry’s Pick: Yes -1100

Will the NFL draft get hacked?

YES +1600
NO -100000

Please, No, Please!!!!!!!!!

Harry's Pick: With sugar on top, No.

The Joe Osborne of Odds Shark Prop

Will Roger Goodell be wearing sweatpants or pajama pants at any point in the NFL draft?

YES +1000
NO -5000

This is my Odds Shark colleague Joe Osborne’s prop based on the fact that he has in many of our shows mentioned or shown the sweatpants that he is wearing or said he couldn’t wait to be in his comfy sweatpants on the weekends while watching whatever sports he has wagers on. Can Goodell be a cool commissioner and after like 20 picks come back from commercial in some NFL designer sweatpants in the comfort of his basement and show everyone he has a sense of humor? This is for you, Joe Osborne, I’m rolling with the big plus money on the yes on sweatpants.

Harry’s Pick: Yes +1000

*** Following up on the Iain MacMillan (& his cat Daisy) of Odds Shark prop from last week. In case anyone out there was wondering how the line is going:

UNDER ½ a cat shown during 1st round -130
OVER ½ a cat shown during 1st round -110

Come on everyone, let’s all “PURR” a little on the OVER. Do it for Daisy.

Harry’s Pick: OVER ½ a cat -110