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Harry’s Super Bowl 54 49ers Prop Picks

Raheem Mostert OVER 75.5 Rushing Yards -115

Mostert has looked as good as anyone through the NFL playoffs and that should continue against a Kansas City defense that ranked 26th in the league against the run in the regular season. During the regular season, Mostert had only 137 carries but averaged 5.6 yards a carry. He has not had to weather a full season of hits and looks fresh heading into the Super Bowl. In the Niners’ two playoff contests, he is averaging 139 yards a game and is rushing for just under seven yards per carry. The way Mostert is playing, it would be extremely tough to take anything involving him to go UNDER on the biggest stage.

Fred Warner OVER 6.5 Solo/Assisted Tackles -145

Warner led San Francisco in the regular season with 118 total tackles. He is also leading the Niners with 13 tackles through their first two playoff games. Warner had 89 solo tackles, 25 more than the next-closest Niner, linebacker Dre Greenlaw. He is all over the field at all times and had three forced fumbles this year. He also had nine defended passes, more than any other Niner who isn’t part of the secondary. Frankly, it feels like the total and the price should be even higher, so jump on Warner while you can.

Deebo Samuel to Score a Touchdown +150

Samuel has been the most popular Niner receiver in the playoffs so far. He has five receptions on nine targets and has doubled up their next-closest receiver, Kendrick Bourne, in playoff receiving yards. Samuel almost broke a 70-yard first-quarter score in the NFC championship game against the Packers and in two playoff games has 49 yards after the catch. He can strike running the ball and had as many touchdowns rushing (3) during the regular season as he did receiving. He is that type of player who could be involved in a trick play and who Kansas City better look out for, so at +150, Samuel to score is definitely great value.

Jimmy Garoppolo OVER 1.5 Touchdown Passes -110

We have seen that due to the dominance of San Francisco’s defense, the offense has not had to rely on the passing game. Garoppolo had only 17 completions against Minnesota and Green Bay, but playing Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs is a whole different animal. If need be, Garoppolo can lead this team down the field like he did in the regular season. He had almost 4,000 yards passing and had a 2-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio with 27 TD passes. In his four games against the AFC North, he wound up with seven passing touchdowns and had at least one in each of them. If this game gets wild because of the Kansas City offense, Garoppolo will need to do his best to match what the Chiefs throw at him and that means if they need passing touchdowns, he’s going to have to come up big.

Emmanuel Sanders OVER 2.5 Receptions -165

Sanders averaged 3.5 receptions over the 10 games he played for San Francisco after coming over from the Denver Broncos. In the playoffs, he has only two total receptions, but they have not needed him because of the running game. The 49ers went out and grabbed the veteran for this type of situation and he will be a main target on third downs. Plus, they’ll need to have confidence in Sanders if this game gets up there when it comes to the scoreboard.

To find out which players I’m backing on the Kansas City side, visit my top Chiefs prop picks article.