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Packers upset threat vs Houston

The Green Bay Packers hope to get their season back on track with their first road win of the season this Sunday night against the Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium.

Green Bay is 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS this season and 0-2 SU and ATS on the road, but they have been dynamite as an underdog going back four seasons (11-2-1 ATS past 14 times).

Houston failed to cover the spread for the first time this season Monday night, but improved to 5-0 SU with its win over the Jets. The Texans are 16-7 SU and 17-6 ATS since the start of the 2011 season, but lost LB Brian Cushing to a knee injury against the Jets. [ Find the best Packers underdog line at Bovada and hammer it, according to many handicappers who believe the Packers will win outright ]

View Green Bay vs Houston Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Houston opened as 2.5-point favorites at shops such as 5Dimes, while the NFL total was set at 48 for over under betting at Sportsbook.ag.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Texans rated this week at No. 4 and the Packers sitting at No. 20. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 37-22 result in favor of the Texans this week.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Houston's No. 3-ranked offense (29.8 PPG) against a Packers defense that ranks No. 14 at 22.2 PPG. The Texans passing attack has averaged 228.8 yards per game, less than the Packers give up through the air (230 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Packers feature the league's No. 17-rated road run defense, allowing 123 yards per game. Houston, meanwhile, ranks No. 21 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Green Bay was a 30-27 loser on the road against the Colts. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (57) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Aaron Rodgers beat the Colts secondary for 3 TDs last time out, but the Packers lost to Indianapolis 30-27 at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Houston won its last outing, a 23-17 result against the Jets on October 8. The Texans failed to cover in that game as a 9.5-point favorite, while the 40 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Arian Foster ran through the New York defense for 152 yards in Houston's last game, handing the Jets a 23-17 setback on Monday at MetLife Stadium.

Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Houston Texans Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 8-2

A few Packers at Texans trends to consider:
Green Bay is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
Green Bay is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Green Bay's last 21 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games at home

Next up:
Green Bay at St. Louis, Sunday, October 21
Houston home to Baltimore, Sunday, October 21