NFL

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots

Houston
Texans
0 - 0
New England
Patriots
0 - 0
September 09, 2018, 1:00 PM EDT
 | Gillette Stadium

Game Preview

Houston
Texans
0 - 0
New England
Patriots
0 - 0
September 09, 2018, 1:00 PM EDT
 | Gillette Stadium
  • The journey to a potential third straight Super Bowl appearance begins for the New England Patriots when they host the Houston Texans in Week 1. The Patriots had some trouble with the Texans last season when they needed a last-second touchdown catch from Brandin Cooks to seal a 36-33 victory. New England opened as a 6-point fave in this matchup and is 14-6 ATS in the last 20 home games (including playoffs) when favored by 6 or more.

    SHARK BITES
    • The Texans have lost 7 straight games to the Patriots (avg. losing margin: 16.14).
    • The Patriots are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 home games when favored by 6 points or more.
    • The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 10 games in this matchup.

    Texans vs Patriots Game Center

    Patriots have had the Texans’ Number

    One. That’s the total number of wins for the Texans and their backers when they look at the history of this matchup as the Patriots are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS all-time vs Houston since the franchise started in 2003 and that lone Texans win was back in 2010. Since then, Houston has faced New England seven times and has lost seven straight (2-5 ATS) with an average loss margin of 16.1 points per game. Ouch. When you then look at the Patriots’ history vs AFC South teams, it gets ugly as the Pats are riding a 20-game win streak against the South division squads.

    When they faced each other in Week 3 of 2017, it was a full-out assault on the Texans defense as Tom Brady threw for 378 yards and five touchdowns, which does not bode well for a secondary that ranked 24th in passing yards allowed per game (237.4) last season. When you factor in that this is the same hyped defense (outside of J.J. Watt) that allowed the most points per game last season (27.3), it’s hard to envision the Patriots managing less than 25 points.

    New England has been a Reliable Spread Bet in this Spot

    Being favored at home is nothing new for the Patriots. They’ve been the favorite in every game at Gillette Stadium since 2014 when they hosted the Broncos in Week 9 (which they won). This is why it’s like clockwork for the Patriots when they’re favored by 6 points or more as they’ve gone 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games in Foxborough in this scenario and are 17-7-3 ATS since that Denver game.

    When you take location out of the equation, New England still gets it done as the Pats are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as 6-point favorites and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 in that circumstance, which makes the Patriots spread all that more appealing.

    OVER Bettors Love When These Teams Clash

    The total opened at 50.5 and bettors should take a hard look at the OVER. The OVER has hit in eight of the last 10 games in this matchup with an average combined score of 52 points per game.  The re-injection of Deshaun Watson back into the Texans offense should give Houston a needed jolt as the Texans averaged 30.7 points per game last season when Watson was under center. When you factor in that the Patriots averaged 29.4 points per game in their last 10 at home (including playoffs), this one is shaping up to be 60 points or more.

    Why I Like the OVER And the Patriots to Cover

    I’ll be wagering them separately as I’m not a huge fan of parlays but both of these seem like they’ll cash in. The Patriots spread as 6-point faves is one of the most reliable wagers in pro sports and they should handle the Texans at Gillette Stadium. As for the OVER, I detailed how these teams can put up a ton of points with leaky defenses so the total of 50.5 seems like an easy OVER.

Odds

Sunday, September 9 Sun Sep 9


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+6.5
-110
+240
o51.5
-110
-6.5
-110
-294
u51.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+6.5
-118
+210
o49.5
-104
-6.5
-102
-250
u49.5
-116

Edge Finder

16.47
Total Score
26.61
194.41
Passing Yards
226.33
83.65
Rushing Yards
124.39
28:14
Time on Field
30:31
59.41
Number of Plays
61.83
4.68
Yards Per Play
5.67
16.47
Total Score
26.61
3.53
First Quarter
4.28
5.82
Second Quarter
8.11
2.00
Third Quarter
4.67
5.12
Fourth Quarter
9.56
194.41
Passing Yards
226.33
32.12
Pass Attempts
31.83
20.82
Pass Completions
21.56
2.59
Sacks
1.72
19.12
Sack Yards
14.28
9.34
Yards Per Pass
10.50
83.65
Rushing Yards
124.39
24.71
Rush Attempts
28.28
3.39
Yards Per Rush
4.40
0.88
Interceptions
0.83
1.06
Fumbles
1.11
0.41
Fumbles Lost
0.56
1.29
Total Turnovers
1.39
6.71
Penalties
5.56
57.53
Penalty Yards
49.33
28:14
Time on Field
30:31
59.41
Number of Plays
61.83
4.68
Yards Per Play
5.67
5.18
Punts
3.06
46.69
Punt Average
44.70
87.35
Return Yards
71.11

Head To Head

HOU
Stat Type NE
1-9
Record
9-1
3-7
ATS
7-3
8-2
O/U
8-2
18.90
Score
33.10
107.50
Rush Yds
110.50
34.70
Pass Attempts
35.10
57.93
Completion %
63.82
203.90
Passing Yds
261.10
311.4
Total Yds
371.6
1.90
Turnovers
1.20
HOU
Stat Type NE
0-3
Record
3-0
1-2
ATS
2-1
2-1
O/U
2-1
16.33
Score
32.33
112.67
Rush Yds
114.00
38.00
Pass Attempts
30.67
60.53
Completion %
58.70
216.00
Passing Yds
237.67
328.67
Total Yds
351.67
2.67
Turnovers
1.33
Sep 24/17 (1 of 10)
HOU
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
33
Score
36
+13.5
ATS
-13.5
44 o
O/U
44 u
125
Rush Yds
59
33
Pass Attempts
35
66.67
Completion %
71.43
292
Passing Yds
337
417
Total Yds
396
2
Turnovers
1
Jan 14/17 (2 of 10)
HOU
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
16
Score
34
+16.5
ATS
-16.5
44 o
O/U
44 u
104
Rush Yds
98
40
Pass Attempts
38
57.50
Completion %
47.37
181
Passing Yds
279
285
Total Yds
377
3
Turnovers
3
Sep 22/16 (3 of 10)
HOU
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
0
Score
27
+1
ATS
-1
39.5 o
O/U
39.5 u
109
Rush Yds
185
41
Pass Attempts
19
58.54
Completion %
57.89
175
Passing Yds
97
284
Total Yds
282
3
Turnovers
0
Dec 13/15 (4 of 10)
HOU
Stat Type NE
Home
Away
6
Score
27
+5
ATS
-5
46.5 o
O/U
46.5 u
87
Rush Yds
116
24
Pass Attempts
30
50.00
Completion %
73.33
102
Passing Yds
197
189
Total Yds
313
1
Turnovers
1
Dec 1/13 (5 of 10)
HOU
Stat Type NE
Home
Away
31
Score
34
+7
ATS
-7
49 o
O/U
49 u
121
Rush Yds
88
30
Pass Attempts
41
50.00
Completion %
70.73
264
Passing Yds
365
385
Total Yds
453
1
Turnovers
1
Jan 13/13 (6 of 10)
HOU
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
28
Score
41
+9.5
ATS
-9.5
50 o
O/U
50 u
91
Rush Yds
122
51
Pass Attempts
40
66.67
Completion %
62.50
334
Passing Yds
335
425
Total Yds
457
1
Turnovers
0
Dec 10/12 (7 of 10)
HOU
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
14
Score
42
+5.5
ATS
-5.5
50.5 o
O/U
50.5 u
100
Rush Yds
130
36
Pass Attempts
36
58.33
Completion %
58.33
223
Passing Yds
289
323
Total Yds
419
1
Turnovers
1
Jan 3/10 (8 of 10)
HOU
Stat Type NE
Home
Away
34
Score
27
-7.5
ATS
+7.5
47 o
O/U
47 u
144
Rush Yds
74
39
Pass Attempts
38
61.54
Completion %
65.79
295
Passing Yds
243
439
Total Yds
317
1
Turnovers
2
Dec 17/06 (9 of 10)
HOU
Stat Type NE
Away
Home
7
Score
40
+12.5
ATS
-12.5
38 o
O/U
38 u
105
Rush Yds
105
28
Pass Attempts
27
57.14
Completion %
70.37
93
Passing Yds
125
198
Total Yds
230
4
Turnovers
0
Nov 23/03 (10 of 10)
HOU
Stat Type NE
Home
Away
20
Score
23
+5.5
ATS
-5.5
37 o
O/U
37 u
89
Rush Yds
128
25
Pass Attempts
47
40.00
Completion %
61.70
80
Passing Yds
344
169
Total Yds
472
2
Turnovers
3

Team Records

HOU
Record NE
0-0
All
0-0
0-0
Home
0-0
0-0
Away
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
ATS Home
0-0
0-0
ATS Away
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
HOU
Record NE
0-0
All
0-0
0-0
Home
0-0
0-0
Away
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
ATS Home
0-0
0-0
ATS Away
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
HOU
Record NE
0-0
All
0-0
0-0
Home
0-0
0-0
Away
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
ATS Home
0-0
0-0
ATS Away
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
HOU
Record NE
0-0
All
0-0
0-0
Home
0-0
0-0
Away
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
ATS Home
0-0
0-0
ATS Away
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0

Gametime Weather

Weather
12:00pm Mostly Cloudy
16ºC / 60ºF
65% Humidity
0% Precipitation
64% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 11
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries
NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Dec 31, 2017IND13-22L+5.5/41L/U851242091461042501
Dec 25, 2017PIT6-34L+9/45.5L/U176512271042263302
Dec 17, 2017JAC7-45L+10.5/39L/O87991861383264641
Dec 10, 2017SF16-26L-1.5/45.5L/U902213111023144160
Dec 3, 2017TEN13-24L+6.5/42L/U533313841981463440
Nov 27, 2017BAL16-23L+7.5/39W/P662373031391552943
Nov 19, 2017ARI31-21W-2.5/37.5W/O134223357482442920
Nov 12, 2017LAR7-33L+13/45L/U891942831043394434
Nov 5, 2017IND14-20L-6/44.5L/U94194288922793710
Oct 29, 2017SEA38-41L+6/45.5W/O142367509334464792
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULine/TotalATSOFF. RUSHOFF. PASSOFF. TOTALDEF. RUSHDEF. PASSDEF. TOTALTO
Feb 4, 2018PHI33-41L-4.5/49L/O1135006131643745380
Jan 21, 2018JAC24-20W-8/45.5L/U462983441012733741
Jan 13, 2018TEN35-14W-13.5/48W/O101337438652022670
Dec 31, 2017NYJ26-6W-16.5/42.5W/U147183330402072470
Dec 24, 2017BUF37-16W-10.5/47.5W/O193218411842423261
Dec 17, 2017PIT27-24W-2.5/52.5W/U772833601432704130
Dec 11, 2017MIA20-27L-10.5/48L/U252232481202423622
Dec 3, 2017BUF23-3W-7.5/49W/U191244435183852680
Nov 26, 2017MIA35-17W-17/49W/O19622141767154221-1
Nov 19, 2017OAK33-8W-7/55W/U89331420109235344-2
View Game Logs