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Texans Have Never Won or Covered in New England

Both the Patriots and Texans bounced back in Week 2 after disappointing opening weeks and the two are set to face off on Sunday in New England. These franchises have met five times in New England since the Texans entered the league in 2002, and Houston has been absolutely eviscerated each time, going 0-5 SU and ATS, with an average losing margin of 23.8 points. That’s not a misprint!

Shark Bites
  • The last time the Patriots lost two straight home games was in 2008.
  • The Texans are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against the Patriots.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Texans’ last nine games against the Patriots.

With rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson now calling the shots for the Texans, it’s no shock to see the Patriots as a double-digit favorite, hovering in the 13-point range. Backing New England as a double-digit favorite has been a profitable venture, as they’ve gone 8-1 ATS in their last nine games in that spot and that includes a cover as a 16.5-point favorite over Houston in the playoffs last season.

It’s all pointing to the Patriots as they’ve also rattled off an 18-6-3 ATS mark in their last 27 home games and they’re also 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. These trends favoring New England are getting a little out of hand and, as a result, they’ll likely be a popular bet in Week 3.

The total for the game is on the low side, especially for a Patriots game, at 43.5 points. New England is currently on a six-game OVER streak, with those games seeing an average combined score of 56.5. In their AFC divisional game matchup last season, the teams combined for 50 points, but the Texans offense has been inept this season, scoring just 20 total points in two games.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The New England Patriots were listed as 11-point favorites at Bovada and other online Sportsbooks, with the total listed at one point at 44.

OddsShark analytical formulas picked a 34-14 win for the Patriots on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New England Patriots currently sport a record of 1-1, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 1-1 ATS. The Houston Texans are 1-1 and 1-1 ATS. Betting totals have seen the New England Patriots post a 2-0 OVER/UNDER record this season, while the Houston Texans have gone 0-2 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New England vs Houston injuries news.

The Patriots-Texans odds would favor the Patriots if the betting lines were set according to power ranks. New England is rated No. 1 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Texans sit at No. 27.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits New England's No. 5-ranked offense, averaging 31.5 PPG, against a Texans defense that ranks No. 13 this week at 19 PPG. The Patriots aerial game is averaging 341.5 yards per game, more than the Texans secondary allows through the air, 169 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Houston Texans own the league's No. 10-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 82 yards per game when on the road. New England, on the other hand, rates No. 10 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Texans grabbed a Week 2 victory over the Bengals in their last game, winning 13-9 at Paul Brown Stadium.

Tom Brady dusted the Saints secondary for 3 TDs last time out as the Patriots defeated New Orleans 36-20 at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

Betting Trends
  • Houston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games
  • Houston is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
  • Houston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
  • New England is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
  • New England is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
  • New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Houston home to Tennessee, Sunday, October 1
New England home to Carolina, Sunday, October 1