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Texans Still Going For the Win in Week 17 Despite Already Clinching AFC South

Prior to Week 16, the Tennessee Titans were gearing up for a playoff run and would’ve put some serious pressure on the Texans with a win in Jacksonville. Alas, their hopes at the postseason were broken along with Marcus Mariota’s leg. This Week 17 matchup with the Texans was shaping up to be an excellent one but with it now being meaningless, it’s tough to forecast a result.

  • The Titans are 2-8 in their last 10 games against the Texans.
  • The Texans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against the Titans.
  • The Titans are 2-8-1 in their last 11 games as a favorite.

The Texans look like the weakest of all the playoff teams so they won’t be able to take a week off and will most likely be using this division matchup with the Titans as a final tune-up. Bill O’Brien has said Houston will be playing to win so we probably won’t be seeing any of the Texans’ stars hit the bench until victory is secure and we could even see the return of the oft-injured Lamar Miller on Sunday.

Tom Savage is 1-0 as the Texans’ starting quarterback this year and Houston backers will be hoping to see him calling the signals going forward. Since taking over Brock Osweiler’s duties under center, Savage hasn’t been incredible but has also not been nearly as volatile as his predecessor. The third-year man out of Pittsburgh has led his Texans to two wins by a combination of just three points and has yet to throw a touchdown pass. The positive, though, is that he hasn’t turned the ball over thus far and is actually looking for DeAndre Hopkins down the field, something Osweiler refused to do.

Savage’s counterpart is looking like it’s going to be Matt Cassel and that should inspire very little confidence in bettors. The man who relieved Tom Brady in the wake of his gruesome knee injury back in 2008 did the same for Mariota last week and was less than impressive. He completed 13 of his 24 pass attempts while throwing one touchdown and an interception.

If you feel like you need to bet this game, and I don’t know why you would, you may want to stick to totals. These are going to be two extremely inefficient offenses facing off and I can’t see them putting up too many points.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Odds at sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Tennessee Titans pegged as -3-point favorites in this betting matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by books like TopBet at 41.

Odds Shark prediction models picked the Titans to win this game on Sunday 27-16. Check the picks page or matchup report during the week as factors may cause that prediction to be re-run. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Houston Texans will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Sunday, as they are 6-8-1 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Tennessee Titans are 6-9 ATS. Houston is 6-9 against the over under total, while Tennessee is 10-5 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tennessee vs Houston injuries news.

The Titans - Texans odds would favor the Titans if the betting lines were set according to power ranks. Tennessee is rated No. 22 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Texans sit at No. 23.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Tennessee's No. 13-ranked offense, averaging 23.8 PPG, against a Texans defense that ranks No. 10 this week at 20.27 PPG. The Titans aerial game is averaging 226.67 yards per game, more than the Texans secondary allows through the air, 206.2 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Houston Texans own the league's No. 16-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 110.43 yards per game when on the road. Tennessee, on the other hand, rates No. 3 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Texans grabbed a Week 16 victory over the Bengals in their last game, winning 12-10 at NRG Stadium.

Tennessee was hamered in its last outing, as Jacksonville ran up a 38-17 score against them at EverBank Field.

Betting Trends
  • Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
  • Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • Tennessee is 6-16-1 ATS in its last 23 games
  • Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tennessee's last 12 games
  • Tennessee is 6-17-2 ATS in its last 25 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Houston home to , Wednesday, December 31st
Tennessee home to , Wednesday, December 31st