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How To Bet Thursday Night Football - Part II

It appears we may finally have a decent matchup for a Thursday nighter (Saints-Panthers) so I thought it might be time to revisit these mid-week prime-time matchups. 

Back in Week 7, I wrote this piece on "How To Bet Thursday Night Football". In short, this season's numbers show that you want to bet the favorite against the spread and the underdog straight up, depending on which one you like. 

Favorites are 7-3 against the spread heading into Week 11 but the team that covered the spread also won the game outright in all 10 Thursday games. So all three times where the underdogs covered, they also won straight up. 

If you had bet $100 per game using the suggested method, you'd be up $1031.61 instead of $909.10 if you were simply betting the point spread. 

This Thursday pattern falls in line with a bigger trend that's happening throughout the NFL this season. The team that wins the game is covering the spread at a 90 percent clip this year (124-13-10) while the usual rate going back the last 10 years is 83 percent. 

Underdogs are also winning at a staggering pace – 83 percent (60-13-2) – in games they cover this season compared with the average of just 67 percent over the past 10 seasons. 

In addition to keeping these numbers in mind when you make your Thursday Night Football bets, here’s a look at how the Saints and Panthers perform in prime-time games going back to 2012: 

Carolina Panthers in Prime-time games since 2012
 Straight Upvs. SpreadOVER/UNDER
Thursday Nighters1-31-32-2 
Prime-time Games5-7 4-87-5
New Orleans Saints In Prime-time Games Since 2012
 Straight Upvs. SpreadOVER/UNDER
Thursday Nighters3-12-20-4
Prime-time Games11-710-88-10

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