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How To Bet Thanksgiving Games: 2021 NFL Thanksgiving Betting Tips

Learn how to bet Thanksgiving games for all three NFL games with NFL Thanksgiving betting tips and advice.

Thanksgiving Day is a great holiday for Americans. It’s an opportunity to drink, eat (maybe too much), nap (after all the eating), and watch football. There’s no better way to spend time with your family. You might opt to be just a fan of the great game of pigskin. Or if you’re like us, you’ll want to put your money on some Week 12 NFL odds. But you really want to know how to bet Thanksgiving games.

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With only three football games on Thanksgiving Day, is there an edge at all or should you fade the board because the Thanksgiving football betting lines should be damn near perfect? Since 2009, 35 NFL games have been played on Thanksgiving Day. Here’s what the football Thanksgiving Day data shows.

NFL Thanksgiving Betting Tips ATS

Favorites have had an edge on Thanksgiving Day, going 21-14 ATS and 28-7 SU since 2009. Home favorites have to cover, right? It’s a holiday and teams want to show up for their fans, right? Probably, yes, but from an NFL betting perspective, that does not necessarily translate to covering spreads. In fact, home favorites are just 10-10 ATS since 2009 despite winning 14 of those 20 games straight up.

Who doesn’t love taking the underdog? Unfortunately, betting on underdogs hasn’t been a profitable endeavor in previous Thanksgiving Day games. Out of the last 35 games, home teams have been the underdog 15 times and in that situation are just 4-11 ATS.

NFL Thanksgiving Betting Advice: Game Totals

One would assume that the OVER would be more likely to hit on Turkey Day games because it’s a holiday and players want to rush home to their families. Well, that is probably true that players would like to spend time with their families but there’s no edge to be had here. Since 2009, game totals are 17-18 OVER/UNDER.

What NFL Teams Play On Thanksgiving Day?

There are three NFL games on Thanksgiving Day 2021.

No teams have seen more Turkey Day action than the Cowboys and Lions, with both teams having played 12 times on Thanksgiving since 2009. If you were planning on firing a play on the Cowboys, tread softly as they are a lousy 3-9 ATS and a coin-flip 5-7 SU in their last 12 Thanksgiving Day NFL games.

Dallas lost outright to the Buffalo Bills 26-15 in 2019, failing to cover the spread as a 6.5-point home fave. And the Cowboys lost to the Washington Football Team 41-16 in 2020, failing to cover the 2.5 spread.

Bet On NFL Thanksgiving Games Today

The Lions’ Thanksgiving record historically has not been much better, with Detroit posting a 6-6 ATS record and a 4-8 SU mark. Detroit covered the +5.5 spread against the Chicago Bears in 2019, but fell short of winning the game in a 24-20 loss to their NFC North division rivals. In 2020, they lost to the Houston Texans 41-25, failing to cover the 3.0 spread.

How To Bet Thanksgiving Day Games

Although it’s a small sample size, it does appear best to fade the two home dogs. If you were a true gambler, you could even parlay the three favorites on the moneyline. Of course, as we always preach, practice bankroll management and never bet more than you can afford to lose.

If you’re looking for alternative wagering options for the Thanksgiving Day football games, make sure to check out our Thanksgiving Day Betting Props article. Whatever you decide, have a happy Thanksgiving. May it bring you a full belly, a good nap and maybe some extra dough.

For NFL picks, be sure to visit our NFL Thanksgiving Picks page and for even more NFL stats, check out our Thanksgiving Day Betting Trends.