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Colts trying to end three-game swoon in visit to Houston

The Indianapolis Colts search for an end to a three-game SU losing streak when they visit the Houston Texans on Sunday in a clash of AFC South rivals at NRG Stadium. The Colts dropped to 2-6 SU on the season with last week’s heartbreaking 24-23 loss at Cincinnati as 11-point underdogs while the Texans came up short in a high-scoring affair in Seattle, falling 41-38 as 6-point underdogs.

Shark Bites
  • The Colts are 23-7 SU in their last 30 games against the Texans.
  • The Texans are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games after a loss.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 21 of the Colts’ last 30 games in the early afternoon.

The Colts are now winless SU in five straight road contests. Indianapolis has surrendered 29 points per game during its current slide and now sits last in the NFL with 30.8 ppg allowed this season. The Colts were good enough to tally SU victories over winless Cleveland and San Francisco earlier this season, but have scored just 14.2 ppg in six losses. Despite their offensive struggles, the total has gone OVER in six of Indianapolis’s eight games.

The Texans have sputtered to a 3-4 SU record but have been a consistent bet at the sportsbooks, covering in five of their past six. The club’s recent contests have been high-scoring affairs. Houston has averaged 39 ppg over its past five outings, but has also surrendered 41 or more points in two of its past three outings, fueling a 5-0 run for the OVER in totals betting.

Houston is undefeated SU and ATS in three meetings with the Colts, including a 26-23 win as 3-point home chalk last season, but has not recorded consecutive home victories over Indianapolis since 2012.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Bettors who were going with the Houston Texans in this one found them listed as 11.5-point favorites on the betting line at Bovada. Fans betting on totals have seen that number set earlier in the week at 48 for Sunday.

NFL prediction models run by the computers at OddsShark picked a 39-9 result in favor of the Texans earlier in the week. Watch matchup reports and the picks page for any changes, due to injuries or suspensions this week. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Indianapolis Colts will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Sunday, as they are 4-4 versus the spread this season, while the Houston Texans are 5-2 ATS. Indianapolis is 6-2 against the OVER/UNDER total, while Houston is 5-2 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Houston vs Indianapolis injuries news.

According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 11-rated Texans and the No. 32-rated Colts in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Houston's No. 1-ranked offense, averaging 30.71 PPG, against a Colts defense that ranks No. 32 this week at 30.75 PPG. The Texans aerial game is averaging 229.14 yards per game, less than the Colts secondary allows through the air, 290.38 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Colts feature the league's No. 22-rated road run defense, allowing 120.75 yards per game. The Texans, meanwhile, rank No. 6 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Jack Doyle was good for 121 receiving yards in the Colts' most recent action, but while it helped his stats, it didn't help his team to victory and they fell 24-23 to the Colts.

In their last game, the Texans got 4 passing scores out of Deshaun Watson, but lost 41-38 to the Seahawks on Sunday at CenturyLink Field.

Betting Trends
  • Indianapolis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 12 games
  • Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Indianapolis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Houston is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
  • Houston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Indianapolis home to Pittsburgh, Sunday, November 12
Houston at Los Angeles, Sunday, November 12