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Healthy Luck is Critical to Colts' Chances vs Jets

Indy may have lost by over 20 in its last game against the Steelers, but that game was a lot closer than the score suggests. Something called “Scott Tolzien” was stopped twice on the goal-line and was picked off twice in awful scenarios. A very critical ingredient in the Colts’ winning formula was missing that Thanksgiving evening but it looks like they will be whole again on Monday when they take on the Jets at MetLife Stadium.

  • Andrew Luck (concussion) is expected to play.
  • The Colts are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Monday night games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of the Colts' last 8 games on the road against teams with losing records.

A loss to the 3-8 Jets this week could seriously hurt Indy’s postseason hopes. Although the Colts sit just a half-game back of the division-leading Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans, the Titans are trending way up and Indy’s schedule doesn’t get any easier with three of its five remaining games to be played on the road. Bovada agrees with that analysis and has pegged Indianapolis with +400 odds to win the AFC South.

The game on Monday is step No. 1 and with everything considered, it really comes down to how well Andrew Luck – and his offensive line – perform. In losses this year, Luck has a quarterback rating of 88.3 and has been sacked a total of 22 times. In wins? That rating shoots up to 100.1 and he’s gone down nine fewer times.

The Jets have not been especially effective against the pass this season, are tied for the second-lowest sack total in the NFL and are near the bottom of the list in quarterback hurries.

Luck has proved time and time again that when he gets time to throw the ball, he tears up defenses. If an improving Colts’ D can keep Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Jets’ sluggish offense at bay, the president of the Andrew Luck Book Club should be able to easily lead his team to a win and cover in the Meadowlands on Monday evening.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

On the opening betting line for this matchup, the New York Jets sat as 2.5-point underdogs at shops such as BetOnline. The total, has been pegged by the odds makers at GTbets.eu at 49.5.

Odds Shark computer NFL score prediction models picked a possible 27-19 win for the Jets on Monday. That score may change during the week, if injury or weather factors alter the numbers, so check the NFL picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New York Jets are 3-8 so far on the season, and 4-6-1 ATS vs the point spread. The Indianapolis Colts, meanwhile, are 5-6 and 5-5-1 ATS. Those over under betting have seen New York go 5-5-1 and the Indianapolis Colts go 7-4 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs Indianapolis injuries news.

It's a betting matchup between the No. 29-rated New York Jets and the No. 25-ranked Indianapolis Colts, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the New York Jets No. 28-ranked offense (17.82 PPG) against a Indianapolis Colts defense that ranks No. 28 at 27.36 PPG. The Jets passing attack has averaged 223.91 yards per game, less than the Colts give up through the air (279.09 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Indianapolis Colts feature the league's No. 29-rated road run defense, allowing 133.6 yards per game. The New York Jets, meanwhile, ranks No. 14 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Indianapolis was hamered in its last outing, as Pittsburgh ran up a 28-7 score against them at Lucas Oil Stadium.

New York lost its last outing 22-17 against New England on Sunday, getting a 109-yard receiving performance from Quincy Enunwa in a losing cause at MetLife Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 12 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
  • Indianapolis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
  • Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
  • NY Jets is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
  • NY Jets is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
  • NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • NY Jets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis

Next Betting Matchups

Indianapolis home to Houston, Sunday, December 11th
New York at San Francisco, Sunday, December 11th