The Colts and Titans will get the 2018 NFL postseason started a week early when they meet on Sunday night in a Sportsbook-gets-in game at Nissan Stadium in Nashville. Originally scheduled for Sunday afternoon, the NFL decided to flex Colts-Titans to prime time – given the high-stakes nature of the game.
Marcus Mariota left the Titans’ Week 16 game against the Redskins with an elbow injury and with his status for this weekend’s AFC South showdown in question, Sportsbooks opened Andrew Luck and the Colts as three-point road favorites.
- Andrew Luck has a 10-0 SU career record against the Titans.
- The Titans are 7-2 SU and ATS in their last 9 games vs divisional opponents.
- The Colts are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games at night.
Colts vs Titans Game Center
Best bet for Colts vs Titans: Colts -3
Because they're my team, I usually try to avoid betting on the Colts but this kind of feels like a freebie. Indy might be the hottest team in the NFL right now - Sportsbooks of eight of their last nine - and they've gone 17-3 against the Titans over their last 20 matchups.
When these teams met back in Week 11 at Lucas Oil Stadium, the Colts put together one of their most comprehensive games of the season, sending the Titans home with a 38-10 loss. Indy is a bad matchup for Tennessee and if Luck comes to play on Sunday, I don't see how the Titans stop the Colts offense.
Another reason to like Indy -3 is the high probability that this line moves if Mariota is ruled out. It took a long time for books to open this line because of the question marks surrounding Mariota's health. If he can't go, Blaine Gabbert will get the call for Tennessee and this line will plummet.
By Sportsbook the line, though, Sportsbooks expect that Mariota will play but even if he does suit up, there's no guarantee he'll finish the game.
Andrew Luck has Owned the Titans
If you look up the Tennessee Titans on Wikipedia, it’s likely you’ll see Andrew Luck’s name in the box that identifies who owns the team.
Luck, 10-0 all-time against the division rival (and 4-0 against Mariota), has almost as many career wins vs the Titans as he does against the Jags and Texans combined. In those 10 victories, Luck owns a 97.2 quarterback rating and an 18-8 TD-to-interception ratio (not great).
The Colts are clicking right now, offensively, defensively and even on special teams. It’s going to take a perfect game plan or a lot of un-luck for the Titans to get the result here and I’m betting they don’t.
