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Bills Return Home to Battle Slumping Jaguars

McCoy Bills

The Buffalo Bills will be desperate for a win to preserve their faint playoff hopes as they kick off a stretch of four home games in five weeks with an NFL Week 12 matchup against the free-falling Jacksonville Jaguars at New Era Field.

Shark Bites
  • The Bills are 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 games after winning as an underdog.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Bills' last six games.
  • The Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games on the road after failing to cover in their most recent road game.

The 5-5 Bills halted a three-game winless streak, both straight up and against the spread, with last week's 16-12 win over the Cincinnati Bengals as 2.5-point road underdogs. Buffalo returns home pegged as a betting favorite for the first time in four games, and will be looking to build on a solid 4-1 SU and ATS run as home chalk.

The 2-8 Jaguars continued their downward spiral last weekend, dropping a 26-19 decision to the Detroit Lions as 5.5-point road underdogs, extending their current SU slide to five games, 1-4 ATS. Jacksonville is winless in 10 as a road underdog of seven or more points, but has covered in four of its past five.

The Jaguars hold a slight edge over Buffalo in recent matchups, winning outright in five of their past nine, including two of four in Western New York. The visiting club has held the edge at the sportsbook, going 4-1 ATS over the past five. These two teams have combined for an average of  56.5 points per game over the past four, pushing the point total OVER in each.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Buffalo Bills were -6.5-point favorites at odds maker shops such as Bovada, while the NFL total was set at 47 for over under totals betting.

A 31-17 result in favor of the Bills is the prediction by the Odds Shark handicapping pick engine. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Jacksonville Jaguars will try to spoil to the party on Sunday; they are 5-5 ATS against the spread this season, while the Buffalo Bills are 5-4-1 ATS. Jacksonville is 6-4 on the over under betting totals; Buffalo is 7-3. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Buffalo vs Jacksonville injuries news.

The game pits the Buffalo Bills, currently No. 11 in our Odds Shark NFL Power Rankings, against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who rate No. 28 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Buffalo's No. 10-ranked offense, averaging 25.3 PPG, against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 25 this week at 26.5 PPG. The Bills aerial game is averaging 185.6 yards per game, less than the Jaguars secondary allows through the air, 209.6 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Jacksonville Jaguars own the league's No. 15-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 106.4 yards per game when on the road. Buffalo, on the other hand, rates No. 1 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Jaguars's last action saw them get a 2-TD performance from Blake Bortles, but they were handed a 26-19 loss by Detroit at Ford Field.

In their last game, the Bills were Week 11 winners, coming out on top of the Bengals by a score of 16-12.

Betting Trends
  • Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • Jacksonville is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
  • Jacksonville is 2-20 SU in its last 22 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
  • Buffalo is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
  • Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Jacksonville home to Denver, Sunday, December 4th
Buffalo at Oakland, Sunday, December 4th