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Indianapolis performs well as home underdog

The Indianapolis Colts are 11-4 SU and 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games as home underdogs. The Colts hope to continue to reward their backers with an upset win this Sunday over the Jacksonville Jaguars.

  • The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on the road against the Colts.
  • The Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after a loss.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Jaguars’ last 12 games against the Colts.

Indianapolis appeared to be on its way to an ATS cover with a 19-15 lead heading into the fourth quarter against the Tennessee Titans as 7-point road dogs. But a late meltdown on defense led to a final score of 35-22 for Tennessee, causing the Colts to drop to 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS on the season. The Colts are 12-2 SU in their last 14 division rivalry games at home.

After getting off to a slow start through the first two games of his NFL career, Leonard Fournette has come into his own in recent weeks. Fournette has racked up at least 130 total yards in each of his last three games and has found the end zone four times over that stretch. Jacksonville leads the NFL in rushing yards per game with 165.8. The Jaguars are just 2-7 SU in their last nine games against Indianapolis.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Jacksonville Jaguars listed as 3-point favorites at shops such as Bovada. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER line for the betting matchup was at 41 over at 5Dimes.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas picked a 25-17 win for the Jaguars. Injuries during the week may cause the formula to be re-run, so check the NFL picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Indianapolis Colts sport a record of 2-4 and 3-3 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the Jacksonville Jaguars sit at 3-3 and 3-3 ATS on the season. The OVER/UNDER totals records are 5-1 for the Colts and 4-2 for the Jaguars. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Indianapolis vs Jacksonville injuries news.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Indianapolis Colts at No. 31 and the Jacksonville Jaguars at No. 7 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Indianapolis's No. 21-ranked offense, averaging 19.83 PPG, against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 7 this week at 18.33 PPG. The Colts aerial game is averaging 203.67 yards per game, more than the Jaguars secondary allows through the air, 166 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Jaguars own the league's No. 28-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 139.67 yards per game when on the road. Indianapolis, on the other hand, rates No. 16 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Leonard Fournette went over the 100-yard mark (130) in his team's latest effort, but Los Angeles still defeated Jacksonville by a score of 27-17.

The Colts suffered a Week 6 loss against Tennessee in their last game, falling 36-22 at Nissan Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Jacksonville is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
  • Jacksonville is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
  • Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
  • Indianapolis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Jacksonville home to Cincinnati, Sunday, November 5
Indianapolis at Cincinnati, Sunday, October 29