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Dogs Have Covered in Eight of Last Nine Between Jaguars & Steelers

The Pittsburgh Steelers have spent the majority of the past decade as one of the NFL’s most perennially competitive franchises. The Jacksonville Jaguars, to put it lightly, have not. Regardless, the up-and-down Jaguars will look to pick up a victory in the unfriendly confines of Heinz Field in Week 5.

XBet opened the Jags as 8.5-point road underdogs with a total of 44.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the Jaguars’ last nine games after losing as a favorite.
  • The Jaguars are 0-7 SU and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 10.0 or more.
  • The Steelers are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games at home after consecutive road games.

The Jaguars have managed to stay relatively competitive through four weeks, which is more than you can usually say for the team based on recent seasons. Jacksonville looked like world-beaters in a huge Week 3 blowout win over the Baltimore Ravens in London before falling to the lowly New York Jets in a 23-20 Week 4 overtime loss.

Quarterback Blake Bortles is not a difference-maker and the Jaguars have realized that now, so the offense has been running solely through star rookie running back Leonard Fournette. The fourth overall pick in the 2017 NFL draft leads the Jaguars in both rushing and receiving yards, establishing a solid presence on the ground in what’s turning out to be an extremely run-heavy offense.

If you’re a fan of fading the favorites, consider the Jags this week. In the last nine meetings between these squads, underdogs are an extremely profitable 8-1 ATS. If you needed any more proof these aren’t your father’s Jaguars, take a look at the defense. Jacksonville’s defensive unit is at the top of the league in turnover margin at +6.

Despite topping the AFC North at 3-1 SU, the Steelers still haven’t reached the level we know they’re capable of. A major reason for that is Pittsburgh’s penchant for getting into penalty trouble. The Steelers are the second-most penalized team in the NFL through four weeks (37 penalties), behind only the San Francisco 49ers and one slot ahead of the Jaguars.

The good news for bettors of the black and gold is their ability to step up at home in the second month of the campaign. In Pittsburgh’s last nine in front of their hometown fans in October, the Steelers are 7-1-1 ATS.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Odds at sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Pittsburgh Steelers pegged as 9-point favorites in this betting matchup. The total, meanwhile, was listed by books like TopBet at 44.5.

A 26-16 result in favor of the Steelers was the prediction by the OddsShark handicapping pick engine earlier this week. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Pittsburgh Steelers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Jacksonville Jaguars will try to spoil the party on Sunday; they are 2-2 against the spread this season, while the Pittsburgh Steelers are 2-2 ATS. Jacksonville is 3-1 on the OVER/UNDER betting totals; Pittsburgh is 0-4. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Pittsburgh vs Jacksonville injuries news.

The Pittsburgh Steelers sit at No. 5 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Jacksonville Jaguars are at No. 10 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Pittsburgh Steelers' No. 18-ranked offense (22.5 PPG) against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that ranks No. 7 at 18.5 PPG. The Steelers passing attack has averaged 227 yards per game, more than the Jaguars give up through the air (147 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Jacksonville Jaguars feature the league's No. 31-rated road run defense, allowing 174.5 yards per game. The Pittsburgh Steelers, meanwhile, rank No. 18 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Jaguars suffered a Week 4 loss against New York in their last game, falling 23-20 at MetLife Stadium.

Le'Veon Bell went over the 100-yard mark (144) in his team's latest effort as Pittsburgh defeated Baltimore by a score of 26-9 on Sunday.

Betting Trends
  • Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Jacksonville is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games
  • Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Pittsburgh is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
  • Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • Pittsburgh is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Jacksonville

Next Betting Matchups

Jacksonville home to Los Angeles, Sunday, October 15
Pittsburgh at Kansas City, Sunday, October 15