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Bucs Having Issues Covering at Home

It’s far from the most attractive matchup on the Week 5 NFL schedule but the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will try to gain some ground in their respective divisions after a pair of 1-3 starts to the season.

Shark Bites
  • The Buccaneers are 2-9 ATS in their past 11 home games.
  • Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
  • Bucs QB Jameis Winston is tied for the NFL lead in INTs with seven.

Jacksonville is averaging just 15.5 points per game this season while allowing opposing offenses to score 26.75. Tampa has the exact same points differential but is averaging 18 points on offense and giving up 29.25 defensively.

Tampa Bay, fresh off a 37-23 loss to the Carolina Panthers, will once again be attempting to cover the spread at Raymond James Stadium after failing to do so in two appearances. The Jags are 1-1 ATS on the road so far.

Rookie quarterback Jameis Winston has had his struggles adapting to the NFL. The Florida State product has six touchdowns for 965 yards but has had turnover issues, tossing seven interceptions through four weeks.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks, including Bovada, had set the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as -3-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was hovering around 42 earlier in the week (check for the current over-under lines at MyBookie).

Odds Shark computer score prediction models pick a possible 24-20 win for the Buccaneers on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Tampa Bay bring a 1-3 record (1-3 ATS) to the Week 5 betting matchup against the 1-3 Jacksonville Jaguars, who are 2-2 ATS against the spread. Over under betting has seen Tampa Bay go 2-2 so far and the Jaguars go 2-2. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tampa Bay vs Jacksonville injuries news.

It's a betting matchup between the No. 30-rated Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the No. 26-ranked Jacksonville Jaguars, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Tampa Bay's No. 27-ranked offense, averaging 18 PPG, against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 25 this week at 26.75 PPG. The Buccaneers aerial game is averaging 226.5 yards per game, less than the Jaguars secondary allows through the air, 278.5 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Jacksonville Jaguars feature the league's No. 9-rated road run defense, allowing 92.5 yards per game. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, meanwhile, ranks No. 15 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

T.J. Yeldon ran through the Indianapolis defense for 105 yards in Jacksonville's last game, but the Jaguars still lost a 16-13 decision at Lucas Oil Stadium.


Last time we saw the Buccaneers, Doug Martin racked up 106 rushing yards, but the Panthers rolled to a 37-23 victory at Raymond James Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Jacksonville is 8-13-2 ATS in its last 23 games
  • Jacksonville is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games
  • Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Tampa Bay is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 14 games
  • Tampa Bay is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Jacksonville home to Houston, Sunday, October 18th
Tampa Bay at Washington, Sunday, October 25th