The 2017 NFL campaign was shaping up to be yet another lost season for the San Francisco 49ers, but the midseason trade with the New England Patriots for Jimmy Garoppolo has kick-started the Niners’ rebuild. Garoppolo faces a big test against the vaunted Jacksonville Jaguars defense in Week 16.
Sportsbook opened the 49ers as 4.5-point home underdogs with a total of 42.5.
Shark Bites
The 49ers are 3-15 SU in their last 18 games in the late afternoon.
The Jaguars are 4-16 ATS in their last 20 games against the NFC.
The 49ers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games in December.
While the Jags defense – which is the top-rated unit in the league – has been outstanding, the offense has done its part as well. Quarterback Blake Bortles has enjoyed a nice bounce-back season and has 3,147 passing yards with 19 touchdowns and eight interceptions, while standout rookie running back Leonard Fournette has 923 yards on the ground and eight scores.
Jacksonville has won seven of its last eight and three straight with wins over the Indianapolis Colts, Seattle Seahawks and Houston Texans. In the wake of last week’s 45-7 blowout over Houston, the Jaguars clinched a playoff spot for the first time in a decade.
San Francisco hasn’t been a great bet at Levi’s Stadium, going 2-5 ATS at home compared to 5-2 ATS on the road, but it’s hard to put too much stock into trends that occurred before the Garoppolo trade. The signal-caller has breathed new life into the offense, as running back Carlos Hyde and wideout Marquise Goodwin have seen a major uptick in production over the last month.
When the Jaguars play in the late afternoon, the OVER is paying out with ease. In Jacksonville’s previous nine when playing in the middle slate of games, the OVER is a perfect 9-0.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
The point spread was settled in at 5 for the host San Francisco 49ers earlier in the week, according to Sportsbook. The OVER/UNDER betting line was hovering around 42.5, with odds movement expected during the week at Sportsbook.
NFL prediction models run by the computers at OddsShark picked a 24-18 result in favor of the Jaguars earlier in the week. Watch matchup reports and the picks page for any changes due to injuries or suspensions this week. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
The San Francisco 49ers sit at 4-10 (7-7 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Jacksonville Jaguars are currently 10-4 (9-5 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? San Francisco is 6-8 OU, and Jacksonville is 7-7 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and San Francisco vs Jacksonville injuries news.
This game matches up the No. 19 (San Francisco 49ers) and the No. 3 (Jacksonville Jaguars) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits San Francisco's No. 25-ranked offense, averaging 18.07 PPG, against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 1 this week at 14.93 PPG. The 49ers aerial game is averaging 242.5 yards per game, more than the Jaguars secondary allows through the air, 168.86 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Jaguars feature the league's No. 14-rated road run defense, allowing 112.17 yards per game. The 49ers, meanwhile, rank No. 27 in rushing offense at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Jacksonville comes off a game where it received a 3-TD performance from Blake Bortles in defeating the Texans 45-7.
Jimmy Garoppolo pierced the Titans defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 381 yards and 1 score as San Francisco handed Tennessee a 25-23 defeat.
Betting Trends
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Jacksonville is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Jacksonville at Tennessee, Sunday, December 31
San Francisco at Los Angeles, Sunday, December 31
