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Can the Jaguars Finally Pick up a Win at Nissan Stadium?

Jacksonville Jaguars defensive end Calais Campbell (93) reacts after sacking Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 2, 2018, in Jacksonville, Fla.

Week 14 in the NFL brings with it the Thursday Night Football matchup that absolutely no one asked for, as the 4-8 Jacksonville Jaguars travel to Tennessee to take on the 6-6 Titans at Nissan Stadium. The Titans remain very much in the mix in the AFC playoff race, while it’s likely too little, too late for the disappointing Jaguars. Sportsbooks opened the Titans as 4.5-point home favorites with a total of 37.5.

  • The Jaguars are 2-12 SU in their last 14 games vs their division on the road.
  • The Titans are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games at home.
  • The Jaguars are 0-4 SU in their last four games on the road vs the Titans (avg. losing margin: 6.0).

Jaguars vs Titans Game Center

Sacksonville finally made an appearance last week

The Jags mercifully ended an ugly seven-game losing streak in Week 13 thanks to a 6-0 victory over the Indianapolis Colts. Jacksonville owned the top defense in the NFL a year ago, yet the unit has largely underperformed in 2018. The Jags defense bounced back in a big way against the Colts by sacking Andrew Luck three times for a loss of 24 yards and intercepting him once. In the first meeting between the Jaguars and Titans in Week 3 – a 9-6 victory for Tennessee – Jacksonville held the Titans offense to a mere 233 yards.

The bad news for Jaguars bettors is the team’s inability to get the job done in Nashville, evidenced by Jacksonville going 0-4 SU in its past four road games against the Titans. In that span, Tennessee has posted an average winning margin of six points. The Jags are a paltry 4-10 in their previous 14 prime-time contests and are 2-12 in their last 14 on the road vs divisional opponents.

Home-field advantage has been huge for Titans over the years

Tennessee needed to pick up a win over the New York Jets at home in Week 13 in order to hang around in the AFC wild-card race and proved to be up to the task thanks to a 26-22 triumph. The win halted a mini two-game losing skid for Mike Vrabel’s club, as the defense limited Jets quarterback Josh McCown to 124 passing yards while sacking him twice and picking him off once.

The Titans found success on the ground against the Jaguars back in September, with running back Derrick Henry totaling 57 rushing yards on 18 carries. Quarterback Marcus Mariota compiled 51 rushing yards of his own. This season, Tennessee ranks 16th in the league with 117.5 yards on the ground per game.

Over the last few years the Titans have traditionally been a rock-solid moneyline play at home and a risky option on the road, and it’s been more of the same in 2018. Tennessee is 4-1 in front of its hometown fans compared to a 2-5 mark away from home. In their last 12 at Nissan Stadium, the Titans are a fantastic 10-2 SU.

My pick: take the UNDER

Look, if you’re a football addict like me, you’re going to watch whatever game the NFL rolls out during weeknights regardless of the matchup. Prime-time Cody Kessler is not exactly a formula for good television numbers, but it could be an excellent recipe for UNDER bettors.

After watching last week’s Jaguars-Colts debacle, it’s clear Kessler is not going to be a guy to light up scoreboards, yet he looks like a safer option than the benched Blake Bortles right now since Kessler didn’t turn the ball over, unlike the turnover-prone Bortles.

The Jags and Titans combined for 25 points in last season’s lone matchup at Nissan Stadium, and I’m expecting another low-scoring affair to follow in this one.