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Jaguars visit Colts in Week 10 battle

Jacksonville JaguarsIndianapolis Colts
Nov 13, 1:00 PM | Turf of Lucas Oil Stadium

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts Odds


It might be the best chance for an Indianapolis victory in 2011 as the proud franchise stumbles winless into the second half of the season at home to the Jacksonville Jaguars.

The Colts pened as small 3-point home underdogs against a Jags team coming off its bye week. Jacksonville has trended UNDER in that situation lately, going 4-1 past 5 seasons after a BYE.

However, head to head, these teams have played mostly OVERs (6-1 past 7 meetings). This game represents the first time in three years that the Jaguars have been road favorites and they come in on a 6-game road losing skid.

Colts backers don't find much comfort in these trends - they are just 2-8 ATS in their past 10 home games and they have lost 11 straight SU as an NFL underdog.

View Jacksonville vs Indianapolis Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Oddsmakers opened the Colts as 3-point underdogs in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 37.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 32 (Colts) and the No. 21 (Jaguars) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 11-2 result in favor of the Jaguars is predicted by handicapping models.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Indianapolis's No. 30-ranked offense (14.2 PPG) against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 8 at 20.4 PPG. The Colts passing attack has averaged 182.8 yards per game, less than the Jaguars give up through the air (197 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Jaguars feature the league's No. 24-rated road run defense, allowing 137.2 yards per game. Indianapolis, meanwhile, ranks No. 29 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Jacksonville was a 24-14 loser on the road against the Texans. They failed to cover the 9.5–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (38) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. The Jaguars suffered a Week 8 loss against Houston in their last game, falling 24-14 at Reliant Stadium.

Last time out for Indianapolis, they were a 31-7 loser as they battled the Falcons at home. The Colts failed to cover in the match as a 6.5-point underdog, while 38 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Jacksonville Jaguars Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 5-5

Indianapolis Colts Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing within the division are 6-4

A few Jaguars at Colts trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis's last 8 games

Next up:
Jacksonville at Cleveland, Sunday, November 20
Indianapolis home to Carolina, Sunday, November 27