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Jonny Knows Picks: NFL Edition Week 6

I had another strong week in college and another brutal one in NFL. I went 2-6 last week with my column picks and 1-4 with my Super Contest picks.

I can't seem to get out of the gutter with my Super Contest plays lately. 2-13 with those last three weeks. Yikes.  

Here's the good news: you can always fade your way to profit in the NFL. Fading me in the pros is gold lately.  Here are my picks for this week. Good luck. 

Cowboys vs Packers -4, 47.5

  • Packers have No. 1 rush defense in the NFL so big test for Dallas (42.8 yds against/gm)  
  • Prescott has an NFL rookie record 155 straight pass attempts without an INT and this Packers pass defense isn’t very good with 275 yds against/gm. 
  • Action is split. Sportsbooks can count on two things every NFL week: Packers money and Cowboys money. 

Pick: Cowboys  

Steelers vs Dolphins -7.5, 48.5 

  • Miami officially sucks and I can tell you why 
  • Dolphins have second-worst ranked offensive line in the NFL and maybe the worst defensive line in the NFL. That combination is not going to win you anything in the NFL.
  • Dolphins only win was in OT against Cleveland, a team that has odds on it to not win a game this season

Pick: Steelers 

Eagles vs Redskins -2.5, 44.5 

  • Huge line move here of 4 pts. Big for NFL. Any time you see a line move like that in the NFL, it’s a big “whoops” by oddsmakers. Usually an injury they didn’t factor into the line or they completely misjudged public perception. In this case maybe both. TE Jordan Reed, top receiver, is questionable with a concussion.  
  • Eagles have the second best scoring defense in the NFL. 4th in the NFL turnover margin/gm. 

Pick: Eagles 

Bengals vs Patriots -9, 47.5 

  • Another big line for Tom Brady.
  • Cincy has lost to good teams this season and beaten not very good teams
  • Think the Pats are going to get their points and the Bengals are going to need to score to keep up. I think they might be able to do that. Don’t have much of a running game so they’ll air it out and I think we’ll see some points. 

Pick: OVER leaning toward the Bengals here  

Other picks: 

  • Carolina -2.5
  • Browns +7
  • Niners +9
  • Jags-Bears OVER
  • Raiders +2

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