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Can Chiefs snap out of downward spiral vs jerky Jets?

Two months ago, the Kansas City Chiefs were one of the top picks to win the Super Bowl at 5-0 SU, including wins against the Patriots and Eagles. Fast-forward to Week 13 and after dropping five of their last six games, the Chiefs are on high alert to miss the playoffs and are 6-5 SU this season. Kansas City opened as a 3.5-point favorite vs the New York Jets, who have also lost five of their last six.

  • The Jets are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games against the AFC.
  • The favored team is 8-0 SU in the last eight games in this matchup.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Chiefs’ last 11 games in the early afternoon.

It’s almost hard to believe Alex Smith was the leader for MVP after five weeks. The Chiefs, at the time, were 5-0 ATS and averaging a whopping 32.8 points per game. Now, Smith has regressed so much that Andy Reid had to clarify to reporters that he’s still the starter (a legitimate question) over first-round draft pick Patrick Mahomes III. But while Smith is getting the scapegoat label, it’s the Chiefs defense that has hung them out to dry. The defense ranks 27th in passing yards allowed and 28th in rushing yards allowed. This may be the week where they snap out of their funk but they already dropped a doozy at MetLife Stadium to the Giants in Week 11 so it may be best to fade them for the time being.

The J-E-T-S were bettors’ secret weapon for a good chunk of the season when they went 6-0-1 ATS from Week 3 to Week 9. Head coach Todd Bowles has done as good a job as he can to keep this squad motivated despite the talent discrepancy. Although they’re 1-5 SU and 3-2-1 ATS in their last six games, they’ve remained competitive and haven’t lost a game by more than seven points since their Week 2 loss to the Raiders.

The total opened at 43.5 and bettors should take a hard look at the UNDER. The Chiefs offense has been horrendous in the last six games, averaging only 18 points. They’ve also only scored one touchdown in their past 28 drives and while they may eke out the victory, don’t expect the Chiefs to be the dominant offense that they were to start the season.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Kansas City Chiefs opened as 4.5-point favorites in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including BetOnline), while the total was hovering around 44 at most shops.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game picked a potential 26-18 result in favor of the Jets. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Jets Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Kansas City Chiefs will try to spoil the party on Sunday; they are 6-5 against the spread this season, while the New York Jets are 6-4-1 ATS. Kansas City is 6-5 on the OVER/UNDER betting totals; New York is 6-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs Kansas City injuries news.

The Jets-Chiefs odds would favor the Chiefs if the betting lines were set according to power ranks. New York is rated No. 19 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Chiefs sit at No. 12.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the New York Jets' No. 20-ranked offense (20.73 PPG) against a Kansas City Chiefs defense that ranks No. 14 at 21.45 PPG. The Jets passing attack has averaged 212.27 yards per game, less than the Chiefs give up through the air (245.64 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Chiefs feature the league's No. 19-rated road run defense, allowing 117.17 yards per game. The Jets, meanwhile, rank No. 12 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, the Chiefs were Week 12 losers coming out on the wrong end of a 16-10 score against Buffalo.

Josh McCown beat the Panthers secondary for 3 TDs last time out, but the Jets lost to Carolina 35-27 at MetLife Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Kansas City is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
  • Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
  • New York is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games
  • New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
  • New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Kansas City home to Oakland, Sunday, December 10
New York at Denver, Sunday, December 10