Patrick Mahomes Chiefs vs Jaguars Betting Odds and Preview NFL Football

Betting Preview: Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars

The Kansas City Chiefs are 4-1 straight up and against the spread in their last five games against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Chiefs are hoping to build on last year’s 12-win campaign in their season debut on the road against the Jaguars.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars (Matchup Report)

Date/Time: September 8, 1 p.m. ET

TV Coverage: CBS

Sportsbook Odds: Kansas City -4.5 | O/U 52.5 (Line History)

Sportsbook Odds Analysis

After closing out the 2018 season as betting favorites in 11 of their last 12 games, the Chiefs open this season as a betting favorite on the road. The line has moved slightly from its opener of Kansas City -4.5 down to the Chiefs at -4 against the Jaguars.

Kansas City News & Notes

In Kansas City’s sixth season under head coach Andy Reid last year, the Chiefs won their third straight AFC West division title and hit a double-digit win total for the fifth time in six years. Patrick Mahomes developed into one of the best young quarterbacks in the game, winning the NFL MVP Award after leading the league in touchdown passes with 50 and finishing second in passing yards with 5,097.

The Chiefs should once again be elite on offense in 2019, even if Mahomes regresses from last year’s torrid pace. Newcomers Frank Clark and Tyrann Mathieu should help shore up the defense as well. Kansas City went 13-5 SU and 10-7-1 ATS last season and there’s reason for optimism that the team will be as good or better this season.

Jacksonville News & Notes

Just one season removed from a 10-6 SU and 9-7 ATS campaign that was capped off with a run to the AFC championship game in 2017, the Jaguars came back down to earth hard in 2018 with a 5-11 SU and 5-9-2 ATS season. Jacksonville was fifth in the NFL in total defense, allowing only 311.4 yards per game, and fourth in scoring defense, allowing 19.8 points per game, but the team couldn’t overcome the awful play of Blake Bortles under center.

Bortles is out, and Super Bowl 52 MVP Nick Foles is in at starting quarterback. Foles has had mixed results as an NFL starter and was downright awful in 2015 as the starting quarterback for the St. Louis Rams, but his recent performances as Carson Wentz’s backup in Philadelphia have repaired his image and earned him another chance to shine as a starter.

Betting Pick

Take the UNDER 52 points in this one. Even if Jacksonville’s offense improves with Foles under center, this still doesn’t figure to be a team built to put up big numbers. On the defensive side of the ball, one of the best defenses in the NFL has had ample opportunity to game-plan for this Kansas City attack.

The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings between these two teams. Whether the score ends up being something like the 30-14 Kansas City win it was when the Jaguars and Chiefs met in Kansas City last year or Jacksonville’s defense has more success this time around, either scenario should result in a game that doesn’t get into the 50s in points.

Shark Bites
  • Kansas City is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games played in September.
  • Jacksonville is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games against an AFC West opponent.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 5 games on the road.
Kansas City is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games played in September.away Jacksonville is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games against an AFC West opponent.home The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 5 games on the road.away
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