Chargers vs Bills November 29, 2020

Offense Likely On the Horizon as Bills Host Chargers

The Los Angeles Chargers have seen each of their last seven games go OVER the posted total with an average total score of 60.6 points per game. The offensive fireworks should continue Sunday when the Chargers meet the Bills in Buffalo.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills
  • Date/Time: November 29, 1 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Bills Stadium
  • TV Coverage: CBS
  • Sportsbook Odds: Bills -5.5 | O/U 52.5 (Line History)
  • Chargers vs Bills Matchup Report

Sportsbook Odds Analysis

The Bills opened as 5.5-point favorites and have seen the line remain steady through the early stages of the week. The total, on the other hand, has shifted up a full point from its opener at 52.5 points to 53.5 points. The OVER is 8-2 in Buffalo’s last 10 games as well.

Los Angeles News & Notes

The Chargers’ dismal defense almost managed to blow yet another brilliant performance from rookie Justin Herbert, this time to the hapless New York Jets. But in the end they barely held on with a goal-line stand, securing a 34-28 win but failing to cover as 10-point favorites. Herbert finished the day going 37-for-49 with 366 passing yards, three passing touchdowns and no interceptions.

With Joe Burrow’s season coming to an early end due to a torn ACL, Herbert has all but locked up the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award. The Chargers sit at 3-7 SU and 4-5-1 ATS due to a defense that ranks 24th in the NFL in scoring defense, allowing 27.3 points per game, but Herbert has kept Los Angeles competitive in every game he has played. The AFC West is going to be stacked over the next few years if the Chargers can figure things out on defense.

Buffalo News & Notes

Speaking of figuring things out on defense, Bills fans are hoping that Buffalo might have done so over its bye week. Josh Allen was able to outshoot Russell Wilson in a 44-34 win in Week 9, but in Buffalo’s last game, the Bills suffered a 32-30 loss to the Arizona Cardinals on a last-second Hail Mary pass from Kyler Murray to DeAndre Hopkins. While it may have been a low-percentage play that did the Bills in, they’ve still allowed 33 points per game over their last two games and 26.5 points per game on the season.

Buffalo is 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS when it allows 24 points or less compared to a 3-3 SU and ATS record when it allows 25 points or more. Allen and the Bills are capable of winning shootouts, but they could really elevate their chances of doing damage in the postseason if they can get their defense playing well more consistently.

Betting Pick: OVER 54.5 points

Betting on the OVER in Chargers games has been a cash cow since Justin Herbert took over the starting quarterback role. All signs point toward another high-scoring affair in this one.

Shark Bites
  • Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games vs Buffalo.
  • Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
  • The OVER is 8-1 in the Chargers’ last 9 road games.
LA is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games vs BUF.away BUF is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.home The OVER is 8-1 in LA’s last 9 road games.away
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