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Division leader showdown has Vikings as favorite vs Rams

Fans of quarterback showdowns definitely had this game marked on their calendar, right? Sarcasm aside, the Rams’ Jared Goff and the Vikings’ Case Keenum are proving naysayers wrong and both have carried their teams to records of 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS. Minnesota opened as a 2.5-point favorite and can cement its stranglehold on the NFC North with a victory against Los Angeles.

  • The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The Vikings are 5-1 SU at their last 6 games at home.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 6 home games. 

Before anyone is set to crown the Vikings as “Kings of the North,” the reality is they’ve been beating up on crappy competition. Of their seven victories, only two have come against teams that currently have winning records (Saints and Packers). But a win is a win in the NFL and ’Sota’s defense will be licking its chops to prove itself among the NFC’s elite. If there is any edge to exploit for the Vikings, it’s the Rams’ defense, which allows 118 rushing yards per game (ranked 24th in the NFL). Coincidentally, the Vikings average 118 yards per game on the ground. Look for Minnesota to try to control the tempo with the rush and have Keenum only sling when necessary.

The Rams opened as road dogs and here’s a surprising fact: the Rams have only been an underdog once this season, against Dallas in Week 4, a game which they won decisively. This is not what bettors and experts are used to from this franchise. Even the most optimistic Rams backer would’ve been hard pressed to predict their performance this season and it all starts with head coach Sean McVay. The near lock for the coach of the year award has masterminded an elite offense for Jared Goff and company to the tune of just under 33 points per game, good for top spot in the league. If McVay can devise a plan to exploit this stout Vikings defense, the blueprint will need to expand outside of running back Todd Gurley, as Minnesota only allows 81 yards rushing per game, good for third in the league.

The total opened at 46.5 and while these two teams have defensive studs at every position, the OVER should be seriously considered. The OVER has hit in all four of the Rams’ away games this season and as I mentioned, the Rams are the highest-scoring team in the league. The Vikings, on the other hand, have upped their output on the offensive end since their Week 4 loss to Detroit, averaging 27.6 points per game.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Los Angeles Rams were listed as 2.5-point underdogs at sportsbooks such as TopBet, with the total listed at 46.

OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game picked a 24-18 victory for the Vikings. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Betting fans of the Minnesota Vikings have seen them go 7-2 and 6-3 ATS so far this season, while the Los Angeles Rams are at 7-2 and 6-3 ATS. In OVER/UNDER totals betting, the Rams are 5-3-1, while the Vikings are 5-4. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Minnesota vs Los Angeles injuries news.

The Vikings sit at No. 6 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Rams are at No. 4 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Minnesota Vikings' No. 10-ranked offense (24.11 PPG) against a Los Angeles Rams defense that ranks No. 3 at 18 PPG. The Vikings passing attack has averaged 245.78 yards per game, more than the Rams give up through the air (203.78 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Rams own the league's No. 31-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 145.5 yards per game when on the road. Minnesota, on the other hand, rates No. 14 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Jared Goff dusted the Texans secondary for 3 TDs last time out as the Rams defeated Houston 33-7 at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.

Case Keenum raked the Redskins for 4 TDs last time out as the Vikings defeated Washington 38-30 at FedExField.

Betting Trends
  • LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • LA Rams is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games
  • LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
  • LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Los Angeles home to New Orleans, Sunday, November 26
Minnesota at Detroit, Thursday, November 23