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Miami Dolphins 2010 Odds Preview

Has there been a more volatile team in NFL betting than the Miami Dolphins over the last few seasons? Their records from 2007 to 2009: 1-15, 11-5, 7-9. Every time bettors think they have a grasp on how to approach the Dolphins at sites like Sportsbook.com, they flip-flop. Does that mean Miami will return to the playoffs in 2010?

Dolphins 2010 Odds to win Division: +300 Regular 2010 Season Win Total: 8.5 (OV -115, UN -105) Dolphins 2010 Super Bowl Odds: 20 to 1 The Dolphins weren’t a very good football team last year but they were far more exciting to watch than most 7-9 teams. They ran the Wildcat offense effectively early in the season, mixing in the talented but brittle Ronnie Brown and bulldozing veteran Ricky Williams. When Brown went down with a Lisfranc injury, Miami deferred its fourth-ranked rushing attack to Williams and, more importantly, started relying more on quarterback Chad Henne. He wasn’t perfect, throwing 14 picks versus 12 touchdown passes, but he displayed a rocket arm and he improved late in the year. Henne posted three 300-yard efforts in his last five weeks – impressive considering he had no reliable receivers. That will change in 2010. The Dolphins acquired Brandon Marshall this offseason. He’s a pest and a big ego to control but he’s also as physically dominating as any receiver in football, capable of 100 catches every year.

The Dolphins’ passing attack should improve this season and some bettors will hammer their divisional line or bet the OVER on their 8.5 wins as a result. But has Miami remedied its defense sufficiently to be a playoff team? It ranked in the NFL’s bottom half in total defense last year, allowing 349.3 yards per game – 234.6 through the air. The run defense should improve with Karlos Dansby arriving from Arizona to play linebacker. But unless projects like 2009 first-rounder Vontae Davis progress, the Dolphins will get lit up by elite quarterbacks again this year. Miami gets some muffins on its schedule – the Raiders, the Browns, the Lions, and the Bills twice. But the Dolphins will still have to work hard to top their 8.5 win total considering they have to battle their neighbouring Patriots and Jets plus Baltimore, Cincinnati, Green Bay, and Minnesota.

The best question to ask yourself if you’re considering a wager on the Dolphins this season: Do you feel lucky?