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Chiefs Poised to Clinch Division Crown in Week 16 Date with Miami

The Kansas City Chiefs can clinch top spot in the AFC West with a victory on Sunday, when they battle the Miami Dolphins at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs recorded consecutive wins for the first time since early October with last week’s 30-13 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers as 1-point home chalk, while Miami saw a two-game surge ended with a 24-16 loss in Buffalo as a 3.5-point underdog.

Shark Bites
  • The Chiefs are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games in Week 16.
  • The total has gone OVER in eight of the Dolphins’ last nine games.
  • The Dolphins are 2-6 SU in their last eight games as underdog.

After enduring a dismal 1-7 SU slide that threatened their playoff chances, the Chiefs have rebounded with a pair of clutch SU and ATS wins over division rivals Los Angeles and Oakland. A revitalized Chiefs offense has averaged 29 points per game over the past three outings, while the defense has limited opponents to 16 or fewer points in four of the squad’s past five, fueling a 5-1 run for the UNDER in totals betting.

Miami’s loss to the Bills put the brakes on a brief two-game SU win streak while extending the squad’s SU and ATS slide on the road to four games. The Dolphins have regularly stumbled out of the gate during a 0-4 SU run on the road, scoring a total of just three first-quarter points in those contests. The Miami defense has also surrendered a hefty 36 ppg during the squad’s current road slide, pushing the point total OVER in each of those contests.

Sunday marks the first meeting between these teams since 2014, when the Chiefs posted a 34-15 win in Miami as 5.5-point underdogs. However, the Dolphins are unbeaten SU in two visits to Arrowhead, including a 31-3 victory as 5.5-point underdogs in 2011.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Kansas City Chiefs were listed as 9.5-point favorites at Bovada and other online sportsbooks, with the total listed at one point at 45.

OddsShark analytical formulas picked a 31-14 win for the Chiefs on Sunday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Supporters of the Miami Dolphins have seen them go 6-8 and 5-7-2 ATS so far this season, while the Kansas City Chiefs are at 8-6 and 8-6 ATS. In totals betting, the Chiefs are 7-7, while the Dolphins are 8-6. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Kansas City vs Miami injuries news.

According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 13-rated Chiefs and the No. 20-rated Dolphins in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Kansas City Chiefs' No. 6-ranked offense (25.64 PPG) against a Miami Dolphins defense that ranks No. 26 at 24.43 PPG. The Chiefs passing attack has averaged 252.43 yards per game, more than the Dolphins give up through the air (222.57 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Dolphins feature the league's No. 30-rated road run defense, allowing 146.71 yards per game. The Chiefs, meanwhile, rank No. 18 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, the Dolphins were Week 15 losers coming out on the wrong end of a 24-16 score against Buffalo.

Last time we saw the Chargers, they had no answer for Kareem Hunt as the Chiefs rolled to a 30-13 victory at Arrowhead Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Miami is 2-5-2 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games
  • Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games
  • Kansas City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Miami home to Buffalo, Sunday, December 31
Kansas City at Denver, Sunday, December 31