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Betting Trends are Heavily in Favor of the Streaking Seahawks

Strange things are happening in Seattle (America’s newest hockey city). The 7-5 Seahawks have put together a three-game winning streak, played to four straight OVERs, gone from +8000 to +2800 in Super Bowl futures and they’ve done it all on the back of their league-leading rushing attack – what?

Since letting go of Marshawn Lynch, Seattle had been one of the worst rushing teams in the NFL but new offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer has brought the running game back from the dead (148.8 yards per game) with stud back Chris Carson leading the charge and it’s helped the Seahawks cover the spread in six of their last eight games.

They’ll bring that red-hot ground game and a healthy Carson (finger) into their Week 14 MNF matchup with a 6-5-1 Vikings team that the ’Hawks have typically dominated. Opening them as 3-point home favorites, books are high on a Seahawks side that’s suddenly 7-3-2 ATS on the season and an opening total of 43.5 has already been bet up to 45.5 at most books.

SHARK BITES
  • The Seahawks are 14-3-3 ATS in their last 20 prime-time games in Seattle.
  • The Vikings allow 21 more rushing yards per game on the road than they do at home.
  • The Seahawks are 4-0 SU in their last four vs the Vikings (avg. winning margin: 15.75).

Vikings vs Seahawks Game Center

Best Bet for Vikings vs SEAhawks: Sea -3

This play is very easy to justify through historic betting trends, which I’ll mention, but for me, this is a case of two teams trending in opposite directions. The Seahawks are one of the hottest teams in the NFL and the Vikings can’t seem to get out of their own way. A lot of that comes down to coaching and in my opinion, that’s where Seattle has the biggest advantage over Minnesota.

The Vikes have a very confused system. They have one of the better defenses in the NFL, holding opponents to just over 300 total yards per game, but OC John DeFilippo insists on putting the ball in Kirk Cousins’ hands 40.9 times per game on average (44.2 on the road). That’s led to Mike Zimmer’s defense being on the field for the majority of Minnesota’s games. In an ideal world, Dalvin Cook would be getting at least 20 touches per game, grinding the clock to help the Vikings dominate time of possession, keeping them in games late – theoretically.

With the 30th-ranked rushing attack, though, that’s not the case and at this point, it doesn’t look like DeFilippo is open to changing his Super Bowl-winning system.

Seattle’s defense has given up a lot of yards through the air this season but in the last three games, the ’Hawks have been bending and not breaking – holding opponents to a red-zone scoring percentage of just 38.46 (third in the NFL over that span). Over that same time period, the Vikings have the fifth-worst red-zone scoring percentage (44.44).

The Seahawks will try to establish the rushing game early in this one and if they’re successful, the question won’t be whether or not they’ll cover the spread but by how much. Russell Wilson has made a career on play-action and with an effective running game to help sell the fake this season, he’s been a surgeon, posting a 115.5 passer rating.

Home Sweet Loam

CenturyLink Field has been hallowed ground for the Seahawks for some time (46-12 SU in their last 58 games at home) and this season has been no different (3-1-1 ATS). At 14-3-3 ATS in their last 20 night games in Seattle, this is the perfect spot to back Prime Time Pete and Russell “Danger” Wilson.

For whatever reason, Wilson and Carroll shine the brightest when the lights turn on and the pressure cranks up and both of those factors are present for their Week 14 matchup with the underwhelming and desperate Vikings.

Additionally, the Vikings are 3-8 SU and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on Monday and they’ve dropped four straight games in this matchup, losing by an average of nearly 16 points. I think this could get ugly for Kirk Cousins and company.

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