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Money Bets: The Best Easy Bets in the NFL

We see it happen week after week. A team is either a great or awful bet in a certain spot, we see it coming, but we don’t pull the trigger, then we kick ourselves after the bet once again ends up coming through. And I’m not talking about silly situations like a team being a great bet as a road underdog in December vs teams from the NFC South. I’m talking about super simple betting situations that continue to hit.

So, if you’re sick of the handicapping grind, check out my list of the most profitable, most reliable and most simple NFL bets that you might be missing out on:

The Bet: Vikings at home

The Record: 27-8 ATS in their last 35 home games

They’re often overlooked, most likely due to their general lack of big-name talent, but betting on the Vikings at home over the past few seasons has basically been free money. With a covering rate of 77 percent over their last 35 games in Minnesota, keep betting this one blind until it cools off, which might not be any time soon — they’re 5-1 ATS at home this season.

Digging a little bit deeper, the Vikings are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog and as a favorite of 3 points or less at home they’re 9-2 ATS. Let people continue to overlook this team while you continue to fill your pockets.

The Bet: Patriots in general

The Record: 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games

Don’t bet against Tom Brady and coach Bill. They’re not just the most successful team in the league, they’re also one of its best bets, covering at a rate of 76.9 percent over their last 26 games.

Bettors might be scared off of betting on the Patriots due to their frequency of big spreads, but don’t back off, especially as a double-digit favorite at home where they’re 7-1 ATS in their last eight in that spot. At home, in general, they’re pretty damn good too, going 21-8-3 ATS in their last 32 games. There’s lots of Patriots haters out there (myself included) but no one hates winning money, so keep backing New England.

The Bet: fade the BrownS

The Record: 7-29-1 ATS in their last 37 games

We know the Browns are pathetic, but that betting record defines the word pathetic. It gets even worse, though, or better for those of us who blindly bet against them. It’s been over a year since they’ve covered a spread on the road as they’re 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine games outside of Cleveland.

Here’s another one: In their last 24 games as an underdog of 9.5 points or less, they’re just 4-19-1 ATS. NOT GOOD! The Browns have been an outright winner in just ONE of their last 30 games, so feel free to parlay their opponent’s moneyline often.

The Bet: Chargers on the Road

The Record: 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 road games

The Chargers have been the butt of many jokes this season due to their lack of a true home fan base after their move to Los Angeles, but you could be laughing all the way to the bank by betting on them on the road.

San Diego ... sorry, I mean LA ... is 4-1-1 ATS in its road games this season, but the BIG MONEY SPOT is betting them on the road as an underdog of 4 points or more where theyve gone 16-2 ATS in their last 18 in that spot.

The Bet: Panthers as an Underdog

The Record: 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog

Carolina has been an underdog four times already this season and is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in those games. This run as a dog exists for the simple reason that the Panthers are perhaps the most unpredictable team in the league as evidenced by their 9-10 SU record as a favorite since their Super Bowl loss to the Broncos.

Another spot to be on the lookout for with Carolina is when they’re a road underdog as they’re 9-1-1 ATS in that spot since December 2014. This includes a perfect 4-0 ATS record as a dog in divisional road games.

The Bet: Raiders OVER at Home

The Record: 16-6-1 O/U in their last 23 home games

What do you get when you have an above-average offense and an awful defense? In the case of the Raiders, you get a lot of OVERs. Looking at their last nine home games, six of those have reached or surpassed the 50-point mark, so don’t be afraid to pull the trigger on their home games that have a total of 49 or less.

Another interesting fact is that Oakland hasn’t had consecutive home games go UNDER since October 2013. And, in home games after going UNDER at home, they’re on a streak that’s seen them go OVER in eight straight!

The BET: Saints on the Road

The Record: 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 road games

Scared of backing this dome team on the road? Well, you clearly shouldn’t be. Even though they had three straight losing seasons coming into this year, they’ve been chronically undervalued outside of New Orleans. 

As an improved team, you might not see them in this spot very often, but as a road underdog of more than 3 points, they’re on a run that’s seen them go 11-2 ATS.

 

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