Events
NFL
New England
Patriots
9 - 3
Miami
Dolphins
6 - 6
December 09, 2018, 1:00 PM EST
 | Hard Rock Stadium

Game Preview

New England
Patriots
9 - 3
Miami
Dolphins
6 - 6
December 09, 2018, 1:00 PM EST
 | Hard Rock Stadium

  • When it comes to home-field advantage in the NFL, it doesn’t get much more important than when the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins collide. With the AFC East rivals set to renew acquaintances in Week 14 on Sunday, the Dolphins will look to continue a trend that’s seen the home team go 11-1 SU and ATS in the last 12 matchups between the clubs. Sportsbooks opened the Fish as 8-point home underdogs with a total of 47.

    SHARK BITES
    • The total has gone OVER in 13 of the Dolphins’ last 18 games at home (avg. combined score: 46.39).
    • The Patriots are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games vs the Dolphins.
    • The Patriots are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games vs divisional opponents.

    Patriots vs Dolphins Game Center

    Patriots have been money since their bye week

    The Patriots were embarrassed by the Tennessee Titans in Week 10, as Tom Brady and company got smoked by a score of 34-10. After going on the bye, the Pats have bounced back to win their next two games in impressive fashion over the Minnesota Vikings and New York Jets.

    In the last meeting between the Patriots and Dolphins in Week 4 at Gillette Stadium, the Pats limited Miami to 172 total yards in a 38-7 blowout win. Brady went 23-for-35 for 274 passing yards and three touchdowns with two picks in the game.

    Just how good have the Patriots been against divisional opponents of late? In its past 13 vs the AFC East, New England is 12-1 SU. The Patriots are also 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games when playing in the early afternoon slate of action on Sundays.

    Howard has been excellent for the Dolphins

    The Dolphins were able to keep their playoff hopes alive by topping the Buffalo Bills at home in Week 13 to improve to 6-6 on the season. In his second game back from an extended injury absence, quarterback Ryan Tannehill threw for 137 yards and three touchdowns with an interception in the victory.

    If Miami is going to slow down the suddenly surging Patriots, its defense is going to have to step up, and Xavien Howard could be the guy leading the way. Howard was fantastic against the Bills, recording two defensive touchdowns to go along with four total tackles and a pair of passes defended.

    Miami has been a great bet against the spread at home vs squads with winning records lately, going 10-4 ATS in its past 14 at Hard Rock Stadium against clubs with records over .500.

    My pick: take the Dolphins

    While it’s no secret New England is the better team, these teams’ penchant for failing to produce on the road in this series is simply too hard to ignore. It’s hard to believe visiting teams are a brutal 1-11 SU and ATS in this matchup considering how much success the Patriots have had over the years, yet the Dolphins always seem to play Bill Belichick and company tough at home.

    Winning straight up will be a tall order, but I expect Miami to keep this one close and cover the spread in Florida.

Back to Matchup

Odds

Sunday, December 9 Sun Dec 9

Opening
Current
New England
vsFinal
Miami
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-7
-110
-385
o48.5
-110
+7
-110
+305
u48.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
-9
-110
-410
o49.5
-115
+9
-110
+340
u49.5
-105
Line History
Final

Edge Finder

21.41
 Total Score
23.78
207.94
 Passing Yards
261.11
106.65
 Rushing Yards
96.00
29:10
 Time on Field
29:14
59.18
 Number of Plays
59.89
5.32
 Yards Per Play
5.96
21.41
 Total Score
23.78
2.71
 First Quarter
4.28
6.24
 Second Quarter
9.33
6.82
 Third Quarter
5.22
5.65
 Fourth Quarter
4.94
207.94
 Passing Yards
261.11
31.76
 Pass Attempts
34.94
21.06
 Pass Completions
21.44
2.41
 Sacks
2.17
16.41
 Sack Yards
15.83
9.87
 Yards Per Pass
12.18
106.65
 Rushing Yards
96.00
25.00
 Rush Attempts
22.78
4.27
 Yards Per Rush
4.21
0.82
 Interceptions
0.94
1.35
 Fumbles
0.89
0.53
 Fumbles Lost
0.33
1.35
 Total Turnovers
1.28
6.12
 Penalties
6.56
49.47
 Penalty Yards
50.83
29:10
 Time on Field
29:14
59.18
 Number of Plays
59.89
5.32
 Yards Per Play
5.96
4.71
 Punts
3.72
41.74
 Punt Average
46.14
97.53
 Return Yards
51.61

Head To Head

NE
 Stat Type MIA
6-4
 Record
4-6
6-4
 ATS
4-6
5-5
 O/U
5-5
28.60
 Score
18.60
113.50
 Rush Yds
85.50
38.50
 Pass Attempts
37.40
61.56
 Completion %
65.24
263.60
 Passing Yds
246.90
377.1
 Total Yds
332.4
1.10
 Turnovers
1.90
NE
 Stat Type MIA
2-1
 Record
1-2
2-1
 ATS
1-2
1-2
 O/U
1-2
31.00
 Score
17.00
132.00
 Rush Yds
81.00
35.33
 Pass Attempts
32.33
61.32
 Completion %
64.95
239.33
 Passing Yds
170.67
371.33
 Total Yds
251.67
2.00
 Turnovers
1.67
Sep 30/18 (1 of 10)
NE
 Stat Type MIA
Home
Away
38
 Score
7
-6.5
 ATS
+6.5
50.5 o
 O/U
50.5 u
175
 Rush Yds
56
35
 Pass Attempts
25
65.71
 Completion %
60.00
274
 Passing Yds
116
449
 Total Yds
172
2
 Turnovers
2
Dec 11/17 (2 of 10)
NE
 Stat Type MIA
Away
Home
20
 Score
27
-10.5
 ATS
+10.5
48 o
 O/U
48 u
25
 Rush Yds
120
43
 Pass Attempts
38
55.81
 Completion %
65.79
223
 Passing Yds
242
248
 Total Yds
362
2
 Turnovers
0
Nov 26/17 (3 of 10)
NE
 Stat Type MIA
Home
Away
35
 Score
17
-17
 ATS
+17
49 o
 O/U
49 u
196
 Rush Yds
67
28
 Pass Attempts
34
64.29
 Completion %
67.65
221
 Passing Yds
154
417
 Total Yds
221
2
 Turnovers
3
Jan 1/17 (4 of 10)
NE
 Stat Type MIA
Away
Home
35
 Score
14
-7.5
 ATS
+7.5
47 o
 O/U
47 u
120
 Rush Yds
75
34
 Pass Attempts
34
73.53
 Completion %
70.59
276
 Passing Yds
205
396
 Total Yds
280
0
 Turnovers
2
Sep 18/16 (5 of 10)
NE
 Stat Type MIA
Home
Away
31
 Score
24
-6
 ATS
+6
42 o
 O/U
42 u
161
 Rush Yds
70
36
 Pass Attempts
45
66.67
 Completion %
71.11
304
 Passing Yds
389
465
 Total Yds
459
1
 Turnovers
4
Jan 3/16 (6 of 10)
NE
 Stat Type MIA
Away
Home
10
 Score
20
-10
 ATS
+10
46.5 o
 O/U
46.5 u
70
 Rush Yds
96
25
 Pass Attempts
38
52.00
 Completion %
65.79
126
 Passing Yds
342
196
 Total Yds
438
0
 Turnovers
0
Oct 29/15 (7 of 10)
NE
 Stat Type MIA
Home
Away
36
 Score
7
-8
 ATS
+8
51 o
 O/U
51 u
95
 Rush Yds
15
38
 Pass Attempts
44
68.42
 Completion %
63.64
342
 Passing Yds
255
437
 Total Yds
270
0
 Turnovers
2
Dec 14/14 (8 of 10)
NE
 Stat Type MIA
Home
Away
41
 Score
13
-9
 ATS
+9
49 o
 O/U
49 u
108
 Rush Yds
76
35
 Pass Attempts
47
60.00
 Completion %
61.70
287
 Passing Yds
308
395
 Total Yds
384
1
 Turnovers
2
Sep 7/14 (9 of 10)
NE
 Stat Type MIA
Away
Home
20
 Score
33
-3.5
 ATS
+3.5
47.5 o
 O/U
47.5 u
89
 Rush Yds
191
56
 Pass Attempts
32
51.79
 Completion %
56.25
226
 Passing Yds
169
315
 Total Yds
360
2
 Turnovers
3
Dec 15/13 (10 of 10)
NE
 Stat Type MIA
Away
Home
20
 Score
24
+2.5
 ATS
-2.5
47 o
 O/U
47 u
96
 Rush Yds
89
55
 Pass Attempts
37
61.82
 Completion %
67.57
357
 Passing Yds
289
453
 Total Yds
378
1
 Turnovers
1

Team Records

NE
 Record MIA
9-3
 All
6-6
6-0
 Home
5-1
3-3
 Away
1-5
8-4
 ATS
7-5
5-1
 ATS Home
5-1
3-3
 ATS Away
2-4
4-8
 O/U
5-7
2-4
 O/U Home
4-2
2-4
 O/U Away
1-5
NE
 Record MIA
6-2
 All
5-4
4-0
 Home
4-0
2-2
 Away
1-4
5-3
 ATS
6-3
3-1
 ATS Home
4-0
2-2
 ATS Away
2-3
3-5
 O/U
3-6
2-2
 O/U Home
2-2
1-3
 O/U Away
1-4
NE
 Record MIA
3-0
 All
3-1
1-0
 Home
2-0
2-0
 Away
1-1
3-0
 ATS
3-1
1-0
 ATS Home
2-0
2-0
 ATS Away
1-1
0-0
 O/U
0-0
0-0
 O/U Home
0-0
0-0
 O/U Away
0-0
NE
 Record MIA
8-2
 All
4-6
5-0
 Home
4-1
3-2
 Away
0-5
7-3
 ATS
5-5
4-1
 ATS Home
4-1
3-2
 ATS Away
1-4
3-7
 O/U
4-6
2-3
 O/U Home
3-2
1-4
 O/U Away
1-4

Gametime Weather

Weather
12:00pm Chance of a Thunderstorm
28ºC / 83ºF
70% Humidity
38% Precipitation
54% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 15
 mph

Trends

  • New England are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 5 games.
  • New England are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games.
  • New England are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Miami.
  • New England are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Miami.
  • New England are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games on the road.
  • New England are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami.
  • New England are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
  • New England are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New England's last 8 games played in December.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games.
  • Miami are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.
  • Miami are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
  • Miami are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against New England.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
  • Miami are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games played in December.
  • Miami are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing as the underdog.

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Name Position Inj Desc

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 2, 2018MIN24-10W-6/50W/U16031147195183278-1
Nov 25, 2018NYJ27-13W-13/47W/U21528349874264338-1
Nov 11, 2018TEN10-34L-6.5/46.5L/U402442841502353850
Nov 4, 2018GB31-17W-5/56.5W/U123310433118250368-1
Oct 29, 2018BUF25-6W-13.5/44W/U7631138746287333-2
Oct 21, 2018CHI38-31W-2/49W/O1082733811343194531
Oct 14, 2018KC43-40W-3.5/59.5L/O17332750094352446-1
Oct 4, 2018IND38-24W-10.5/50W/O9734143884355439-1
Sep 30, 2018MIA38-7W-6.5/50.5W/U175274449561161720
Sep 23, 2018DET10-26L-7/55L/U891202091592554140
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 2, 2018BUF21-17W-3.5/40W/U60115175198217415-2
Nov 25, 2018IND24-27L+9/52.5W/U113201314118337455-2
Nov 11, 2018GB12-31L+12.5/48.5L/U1311632941951823771
Nov 4, 2018NYJ13-6W-3/43W/U6410416880202282-4
Oct 25, 2018HOU23-42L+7.5/45L/O1162543701882394271
Oct 21, 2018DET21-32L+3/47L/O1072153222482094570
Oct 14, 2018CHI31-28W+7/40.5W/O1613805411643034670
Oct 7, 2018CIN17-27L+6/48L/U1281692971032293322
Sep 30, 2018NE7-38L+6.5/50.5L/U561161721752744490
Sep 23, 2018OAK28-20W-3/46W/O41332373109325434-2
View Game Logs