NFL

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

New England
Patriots
7 - 3
New York
Jets
3 - 7
November 25, 2018, 1:00 PM EST
 | MetLife Stadium

Game Preview

New England
Patriots
7 - 3
New York
Jets
3 - 7
November 25, 2018, 1:00 PM EST
 | MetLife Stadium
  • After suffering a humbling 24-point loss to the Titans, the New England Patriots return from their bye in the Big Apple when they face the New York Jets in Week 12. The Patriots are 2-3 SU and ATS in five road games this season and are 6-4 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs the Jets. New York, on the other hand, is riding a four-game losing streak and has lost seven of its last nine overall.

    The Patriots opened as 9.5-point favorites with a total of 46.

    SHARK BITES
    • The Patriots are 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 games after a loss.
    • The Jets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games as an underdog.
    • The UNDER has hit in the last 4 games in this matchup (avg. combined score: 39.0).

    Patriots vs Jets Game Center

    Patriots Have Rewarded Bettors When Coming Off a Loss 

    The loss to the Titans may have thrown bettors off New England’s scent but when coming off a loss, the Pats have been profitable. The Patriots are 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 games when suffering defeat in the previous game, with an average win margin of 11.5 points per game.

    The Patriots offense was rolling going into the Titans game, averaging 35.5 points per game during a six-game win streak, but was limited to only 10 points vs Tennessee. The Titans held the Patriots to only 40 yards rushing on 19 carries while outscoring them 17-3 in the first quarter and didn’t look back. Obviously New England’s performance on the road has been a troubling sign for a team aiming to go to its fourth Super Bowl in the last five years.

    There are also some conflicting trends for the Patriots in this spot that make this game tough to cap:

    • The Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs the Jets.
    • The Pats are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games when favored by 9.5 or more.
    • The Pats are 8-2 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games when favored by 9.5 or more.
    • The Pats are 4-5-1 ATS in their last 10 games off a bye.
    • The Pats are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games off a bye.

    Gun to my head, I’d still back the Patriots to cover the spread but I don’t feel great about it given the history between these divisional rivals.

    Jets As Home Dogs Continue To Surprise

    At 3-7 SU in 10 games this season, not much has changed for the Jets in 2018 after finishing last season at 5-11 SU. The J-E-T-S were supposed to be lifted by rookie quarterback Sam Darnold but he has been struggling, to say the least, with 11 touchdowns and 13 interceptions in nine starts, so it shouldn’t be a surprise to see New York ranked 29th in passing yards per game (192.1) and 27th in passing touchdowns.

    The Jets were also on a bye this past Sunday and probably needed to take the rest of the season off after allowing the Bills to drop 41 points on them. New York has failed to score more than 20 points in four straight games while going 0-4 ATS in that span.

    That’s why it surprises me that this team can be 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games as underdogs because on paper, the Jets are a dumpster fire. Their head coach is likely on his way out and they’re projected to pick in the top five of next year’s NFL draft. If you think it’s too many points for the Patriots, I don’t blame you. But I can’t endorse any wager that backs the Jets in this one.

    Is Another UNDER in Store?

    The total opened at 46 and trends are pointing to another UNDER in this AFC East rivalry. The UNDER has hit in the last four games in this matchup with an average combined score of 39 points per game. The UNDER has also hit in six of the Patriots’ last eight games on the road with an average combined score of 44.3.

    My Pick Is…

    To take the UNDER. This wager is mainly because of how poor the Jets offense is and I can’t see them topping 20 points based on their quarterback play. I expect the Patriots to come out with a vengeance and stomp a team that looks like it has quit on its coach.

Odds

Sunday, November 25 Sun Nov 25


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-9
-110
-370
o47.5
-110
+9
-110
+295
u47.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
-13
-105
-660
o46.5
-110
+13
-115
+510
u46.5
-110

Edge Finder

21.41
Total Score
17.41
207.94
Passing Yards
218.88
106.65
Rushing Yards
99.18
29:10
Time on Field
28:44
59.18
Number of Plays
63.18
5.32
Yards Per Play
5.03
21.41
Total Score
17.41
2.71
First Quarter
2.53
6.24
Second Quarter
5.47
6.82
Third Quarter
3.00
5.65
Fourth Quarter
6.41
207.94
Passing Yards
218.88
31.76
Pass Attempts
36.88
21.06
Pass Completions
21.00
2.41
Sacks
2.47
16.41
Sack Yards
18.65
9.87
Yards Per Pass
10.42
106.65
Rushing Yards
99.18
25.00
Rush Attempts
23.82
4.27
Yards Per Rush
4.16
0.82
Interceptions
0.82
1.35
Fumbles
1.24
0.53
Fumbles Lost
0.53
1.35
Total Turnovers
1.35
6.12
Penalties
5.35
49.47
Penalty Yards
50.94
29:10
Time on Field
28:44
59.18
Number of Plays
63.18
5.32
Yards Per Play
5.03
4.71
Punts
4.88
41.74
Punt Average
46.87
97.53
Return Yards
57.71

Head To Head

NE
Stat Type NYJ
8-2
Record
2-8
2-7-1
ATS
7-2-1
4-6
O/U
4-6
24.70
Score
17.30
84.10
Rush Yds
116.10
39.90
Pass Attempts
34.80
56.89
Completion %
56.61
228.40
Passing Yds
229.70
312.5
Total Yds
345.8
0.50
Turnovers
1.70
NE
Stat Type NYJ
3-0
Record
0-3
2-1
ATS
1-2
0-3
O/U
0-3
30.33
Score
8.67
126.33
Rush Yds
75.00
35.67
Pass Attempts
35.67
53.27
Completion %
54.21
217.00
Passing Yds
223.00
343.33
Total Yds
298
0.67
Turnovers
2.33
Dec 31/17 (1 of 10)
NE
Stat Type NYJ
Home
Away
26
Score
6
-16.5
ATS
+16.5
42.5 o
O/U
42.5 u
147
Rush Yds
40
40
Pass Attempts
36
47.50
Completion %
52.78
183
Passing Yds
207
330
Total Yds
247
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 15/17 (2 of 10)
NE
Stat Type NYJ
Away
Home
24
Score
17
-9
ATS
+9
48.5 o
O/U
48.5 u
118
Rush Yds
74
38
Pass Attempts
47
52.63
Completion %
65.96
257
Passing Yds
334
375
Total Yds
408
2
Turnovers
3
Dec 24/16 (3 of 10)
NE
Stat Type NYJ
Home
Away
41
Score
3
-17
ATS
+17
45 o
O/U
45 u
114
Rush Yds
111
29
Pass Attempts
24
62.07
Completion %
33.33
211
Passing Yds
128
325
Total Yds
239
0
Turnovers
4
Nov 27/16 (4 of 10)
NE
Stat Type NYJ
Away
Home
22
Score
17
-9.5
ATS
+9.5
48 o
O/U
48 u
91
Rush Yds
64
50
Pass Attempts
32
60.00
Completion %
68.75
286
Passing Yds
269
377
Total Yds
333
0
Turnovers
2
Dec 27/15 (5 of 10)
NE
Stat Type NYJ
Away
Home
20
Score
26
-2.5
ATS
+2.5
45.5 o
O/U
45.5 u
63
Rush Yds
143
31
Pass Attempts
41
70.97
Completion %
63.41
221
Passing Yds
285
284
Total Yds
428
1
Turnovers
1
Oct 25/15 (6 of 10)
NE
Stat Type NYJ
Home
Away
30
Score
23
-7
ATS
+7
47 o
O/U
47 u
16
Rush Yds
89
54
Pass Attempts
39
62.96
Completion %
56.41
337
Passing Yds
283
353
Total Yds
372
0
Turnovers
1
Dec 21/14 (7 of 10)
NE
Stat Type NYJ
Away
Home
17
Score
16
-9
ATS
+9
47 o
O/U
47 u
85
Rush Yds
116
35
Pass Attempts
27
65.71
Completion %
62.96
146
Passing Yds
191
231
Total Yds
307
1
Turnovers
1
Oct 16/14 (8 of 10)
NE
Stat Type NYJ
Home
Away
27
Score
25
-9.5
ATS
+9.5
44.5 o
O/U
44.5 u
63
Rush Yds
218
37
Pass Attempts
34
54.05
Completion %
58.82
260
Passing Yds
205
323
Total Yds
423
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 20/13 (9 of 10)
NE
Stat Type NYJ
Away
Home
27
Score
30
-3.5
ATS
+3.5
43 o
O/U
43 u
90
Rush Yds
177
46
Pass Attempts
33
47.83
Completion %
51.52
205
Passing Yds
206
295
Total Yds
383
1
Turnovers
1
Sep 12/13 (10 of 10)
NE
Stat Type NYJ
Home
Away
13
Score
10
-11
ATS
+11
43.5 o
O/U
43.5 u
54
Rush Yds
129
39
Pass Attempts
35
48.72
Completion %
42.86
178
Passing Yds
189
232
Total Yds
318
0
Turnovers
4

Team Records

NE
Record NYJ
7-3
All
3-7
5-0
Home
2-3
2-3
Away
1-4
6-4
ATS
3-7
4-1
ATS Home
2-3
2-3
ATS Away
1-4
4-6
O/U
6-4
2-3
O/U Home
4-1
2-3
O/U Away
2-3
NE
Record NYJ
5-2
All
2-5
4-0
Home
2-2
1-2
Away
0-3
4-3
ATS
2-5
3-1
ATS Home
2-2
1-2
ATS Away
0-3
3-4
O/U
4-3
2-2
O/U Home
3-1
1-2
O/U Away
1-2
NE
Record NYJ
2-0
All
0-3
1-0
Home
0-2
1-0
Away
0-1
2-0
ATS
0-3
1-0
ATS Home
0-2
1-0
ATS Away
0-1
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
NE
Record NYJ
7-3
All
3-7
5-0
Home
2-3
2-3
Away
1-4
6-4
ATS
3-7
4-1
ATS Home
2-3
2-3
ATS Away
1-4
4-6
O/U
6-4
2-3
O/U Home
4-1
2-3
O/U Away
2-3

Gametime Weather

Weather
12:00 pm EST Mostly Cloudy
11ºC / 51ºF
71% Humidity
0% Precipitation
72% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 7
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Riley ReiffTIR, Undisclosed
Matt JudonLBIR, Biceps
Deatrich Wise Jr.DEIs upgraded to probable Thursday vs Pittsburgh, Shoulder
Kendrick BourneWRIR, Knee
Daniel EkualeDTIR, Elbow
Calvin AndersonTIR, Illness
Rhamondre StevensonRBIs downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Pittsburgh, Ankle
Shaun WadeCBIs upgraded to probable Thursday vs Pittsburgh, Illness
Marcus JonesCBIR, Shoulder
Bailey ZappeQBHas been named the starter Thursday vs Pittsburgh, None
Christian GonzalezCBIs out for season, Shoulder
Kayshon BoutteWRIs "?" Thursday vs Pittsburgh, Shoulder
Demario DouglasWRIs "?" Thursday vs Pittsburgh, Concussion
Name Position Inj Desc
Aaron RodgersQBIR, Achilles
Al WoodsDTIs out for season, Achilles
C.J. UzomahTEIR, Knee
Connor McGovernGIR, Knee
Chuck ClarkSIs out for season, ACL
Alijah Vera-TuckerGIs out for season, Achilles
Zach WilsonQBHas been named starter Sunday vs Houston, None
Jason BrownleeWRLeft last game, is "?" Sunday vs Houston, Ankle

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Nov 11, 2018TEN10-34L-6.5/46.5L/U402442841502353850
Nov 4, 2018GB31-17W-5/56.5W/U123310433118250368-1
Oct 29, 2018BUF25-6W-13.5/44W/U7631138746287333-2
Oct 21, 2018CHI38-31W-2/49W/O1082733811343194531
Oct 14, 2018KC43-40W-3.5/59.5L/O17332750094352446-1
Oct 4, 2018IND38-24W-10.5/50W/O9734143884355439-1
Sep 30, 2018MIA38-7W-6.5/50.5W/U175274449561161720
Sep 23, 2018DET10-26L-7/55L/U891202091592554140
Sep 16, 2018JAC20-31L-2/44.5L/O82220302104377481-1
Sep 9, 2018HOU27-20W-6.5/49.5W/U1222673891671583251
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Nov 11, 2018BUF10-41L-7/37.5L/O831161992122394512
Nov 4, 2018MIA6-13L+3/43L/U80202282641041684
Oct 28, 2018CHI10-24L+8.5/42L/U571502071792163950
Oct 21, 2018MIN17-37L+3.5/45L/O71192263882283164
Oct 14, 2018IND42-34W-2.5/47.5W/O107267374127301428-2
Oct 7, 2018DEN34-16W+1/42.5W/O323189512923444361
Sep 30, 2018JAC12-31L+7.5/40.5L/O34144178126377503-3
Sep 20, 2018CLE17-21L+3/41L/U1071612681331903233
Sep 16, 2018MIA12-20L-3/42.5L/U423203621351222571
Sep 10, 2018DET48-17W+7/44W/O16918034939300339-3
View Game Logs
Back to Top