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New England Patriots Visit Buffalo Bills in Week 6 Clash – Betting Lines and Pick

New England Patriots


Buffalo Bills
Sunday, October 12, 2014 1:00 PM ET
Ralph Wilson Stadium


The 3-2 New England Patriots travel to Buffalo on Sunday to face the 3-2 Bills in a battle of AFC East co-leaders. The Patriots have been a betting disappointment in the early going, just 2-3 ATS, but responded to a devastating 41-14 loss to Kansas City in Week 4 with a 43-17 home win over Cincinnati in Week 5.

New England faces a Bills squad that owns the NFL's top passing defense, but is also enduring a quarterback controversy. Starting QB EJ Manuel was replaced last Sunday by veteran Kyle Orton, who led the Bills to a 17-14 comeback win over Detroit. The Bills are 1-9 in their last 10 home dates against the Pats, but are a respectable 7-3 ATS overall in their last 10 at home.

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Opening Odds and Betting Line

Sportsbooks, including 5Dimes, had set the Buffalo Bills as 3-point home dogs on the opening line for this contest. The total was hovering around 45 earlier in the week (check for the current over-under lines at Bovada).

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Computer Prediction: New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Pick

Handicapping prediction models run by the computers at Odds Shark pick a 29-22 result in favor of the Patriots. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Odds and Stats.

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Buffalo Bills currently sport a record of 3-2, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 3-2 ATS. The New England Patriots are 3-2 and 2-3 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Buffalo Bills post a 0-5 over under record this season, while the New England Patriots have gone 3-2 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Buffalo vs New England injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Buffalo Bills rated this week at No. 16 and the New England Patriots sitting at No. 6.

How New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Stats Matchup

The game also pits Buffalo's No. 28-ranked offense, averaging 19.2 PPG, against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 12 this week at 21.4 PPG. The Bills aerial game is averaging 217.6 yards per game, more than the Patriots secondary allows through the air, 196.6 YPG per game.

Defensively, the New England Patriots feature the league's No. 27-rated road run defense, allowing 150.67 yards per game. The Buffalo Bills, meanwhile, ranks No. 24 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, New England got a 113-yard performance from Stevan Ridley as a key part of its 43-17 win over Cincinnati.


Kyle Orton's 308-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as Buffalo earned a 17-14 win over Detroit on Sunday at Ford Field.

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Betting Odds Trends

New England is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New England is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New England's last 13 games
New England is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home
Buffalo is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing New England

Next Betting Matchups

New England home to New York, Thursday, October 16th
Buffalo home to Minnesota, Sunday, October 19th