The Bills came into New England in Week 4 and took advantage of a Tom Brady-less Patriots team to hand them their first and only loss of the season. With Brady back in the fold and the Patriots absolutely rolling, they’ll look to lay the smack down on the Bills in Buffalo, which is something they’ve done plenty of over the years as they’re 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games there.
- The Bills are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after an ATS loss.
- The Patriots are 9-0 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games after losing the previous game in a matchup.
- LeGarrette Blount has scored at least 1 TD in six of his last seven games.
Since returning from suspension, Brady still hasn’t thrown an interception and he’s averaged 334.6 passing yards per game. Last season in Buffalo, he had one of his better games of the season when he led the Patriots to a 40-32 win, racking up 466 passing yards and three TDs. In his last four games in Buffalo, he has thrown for 12 TDs and just one INT.
Looking at the spread, which is hovering around the -6.5 mark, the Bills haven’t lost by more than six points yet this season, but five of the Patriots’ six wins have come by seven points or more. Regarding that 11-1 SU run the Pats are on in Buffalo, 10 of those wins were by a TD or more.
Those considering placing a moneyline wager on the underdog Bills will want to consider that Buffalo hasn't won both regular season games vs the Patriots in the same season since 1999.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
The point spread was settled in at 4.5 for the host Buffalo Bills earlier in the week, according to Sportsbook. The over under betting line was hovering around 47, with odds movement expected during the week at Sportsbook.
Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 28-20 win for the Patriots. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Buffalo Bills sport a record of 4-3 and 4-3 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the New England Patriots sit at 6-1 and 6-1 ATS on the season. The over under totals records are 5-2 for the Bills and 2-4-1 for the Patriots. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Buffalo vs New England injuries news.
It's a betting matchup between the No. 7-rated Buffalo Bills and the No. 5-ranked New England Patriots, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits Buffalo's No. 6-ranked offense, averaging 26.71 PPG, against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 4 this week at 15.29 PPG. The Bills aerial game is averaging 175 yards per game, less than the Patriots secondary allows through the air, 259 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the New England Patriots own the league's No. 2-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 71 yards per game when on the road. Buffalo, on the other hand, rates No. 1 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
In their last game, New England got a 127-yard performance from LeGarrette Blount as a key part of its 27-16 win over Pittsburgh.
In their last game, the Bills were Week 7 losers coming out on the wrong end of 28-25 score against Miami.
- New England is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
- New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
- New England is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
- Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
- Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
- Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
New England home to Seattle, Sunday, November 13th
Buffalo at Seattle, Monday, November 7th
