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Dolphins Just Can't Cover the Spread

Ryan Tannehill Miami Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins have not been very good this season, which should not be a surprise, but they have somehow been worse at covering the spread. The ‘Fins are just 1-8 ATS in their past nine and have failed to cover since Week 10. An ATS victory will not be easy Sunday as the Dolphins host the New England Patriots.

Shark Bites
  • The Patriots are 2-4-1 ATS in their last seven games.
  • The Dolphins are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games against the Patriots.
  • Tom Brady threw for four touchdowns and no interceptions when these teams met in Week 8.

The Dolphins have just one win in their past six games, with that lone victory coming against the 5-10 Baltimore Ravens. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill has been getting his pounded over the past two weeks as he has been sacked nine times and injured his left leg in the Dolphins loss to the Colts.

Bill Belichick had more faith in his defense holding the Jets to a field goal than he did in his own offense scoring and it bite him on the ass. The Pats coach decided to kick the ball away in overtime rather than receive last week, a decision that proved boneheaded. But it would not have come to the if the offense could have done anything in the game as they had their fewest snaps of the season while going 1-for-10 on third down.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Miami Dolphins were 8-point underdogs at odds maker shops such as Bovada, while the NFL total was set at 45 for over under totals betting.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 25-17 result in favor of the Patriots. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Miami Dolphins sit at 5-10 (4-11 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the New England Patriots are currently 12-3 (7-5-3 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? Miami is 7-8 OU, and New England is 9-6 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Miami vs New England injuries news.

The Dolphins - Patriots odds would favor the Patriots if the betting lines were set according to power ranks. Miami is rated No. 32 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Patriots sit at No. 5.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Miami Dolphins No. 27-ranked offense (19.33 PPG) against a New England Patriots defense that ranks No. 8 at 19.67 PPG. The Dolphins passing attack has averaged 231.4 yards per game, less than the Patriots give up through the air (234 YPG on average).

Defensively, the New England Patriots feature the league's No. 24-rated road run defense, allowing 124.14 yards per game. The Miami Dolphins, meanwhile, ranks No. 14 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, the Patriots were Week 16 losers coming out on the wrong end of 26-20 score against New York.

In their last game, Miami's aerial attack generated 329 yards but it was the Colts coming away with a 18-12 victory over Miami at Sun Life Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • New England is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • New England is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
  • New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
  • Miami is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New England home to , Wednesday, December 31st
Miami home to , Wednesday, December 31st