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Patriots Could Steamroll Jets in Week 12

Tom Brady and Bill Belichick will take their traveling act to East Rutherford this week to take on the 3-7 Jets at MetLife Stadium as the Patriots attempt to remain perfect on the road. New York is coming off a rare win in this matchup but hasn't won a game since barely getting by the now 0-11 Cleveland Browns in Week 8.

  • The Patriots are 16-2 SU in their last 18 games after losing the previous game in a matchup.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Patriots' last 6 games as road favorites.
  • The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games with a closing total of 47.0 or more.

A trend to be wary of when heading to the betting window this weekend is that despite owning the Jets straight up in their last 10, New England has not covered the spread in six straight games against New York. With that said, the Jets are 0-15 SU and 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games with a closing total of 47 or more and the Patriots have been one of the best spread bets in pro sports over the past couple of months.

Tom Brady will most likely keep slinging the ball this week as the Pats are 5-0 when he’s thrown at least a touchdown and 0-1 when he hasn’t.

The Jets’ only three wins this year came when they held their opponents to 86 or fewer rushing yards. New England has been averaging 120 yards on the ground over its last five. Josh McDaniels and Belichick will likely have their way with the Jets defense on Sunday and it’s highly unlikely that Ryan Fitzpatrick keeps pace with Brady and the high-octane Patriots offense.

Since their push in Week 1, the Jets have not covered a spread in a game they’ve lost and I think it’s pretty safe to say the J-E-T-S are going to L-O-S-E this week.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to back the visiting New England Patriots in this one found them as -7.5-point favorites earlier in the week, while the total was settling in the neighborhood of 48 at shops such as Bovada.

A 28-19 result in favor of the Patriots is the prediction by the Odds Shark handicapping pick engine. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

New England Patriots vs New York Jets Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New England Patriots will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Sunday, as they are 8-2 ATS versus the spread this season, while the New York Jets are 3-6-1 ATS. New England is 4-5-1 against the over under total, while New York is 5-4-1 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs New England injuries news.

According to the Power Rankings here at Odds Shark it's the No. 30-rated New York Jets and the No. 2-rated New England Patriots in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits New York's No. 29-ranked offense, averaging 17.9 PPG, against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 3 this week at 18 PPG. The Jets aerial game is averaging 219.4 yards per game, less than the Patriots secondary allows through the air, 252.3 YPG per game.

Defensively, the New England Patriots feature the league's No. 10-rated road run defense, allowing 100.4 yards per game. The New York Jets, meanwhile, ranks No. 9 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time out, Tom Brady threw for 4 scores and 280 yards in leading his team past San Francisco at Levi's Stadium.

In their last game, the Jets were Week 10 losers coming out on the wrong end of 9-6 score against Los Angeles.

Betting Trends
  • New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • NY Jets is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
  • NY Jets is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • NY Jets is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
  • NY Jets is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing New England

Next Betting Matchups

New England home to Los Angeles, Sunday, December 4th
New York home to Indianapolis, Monday, December 5th