If you had told me prior to the season that the New England Patriots, Buffalo Bills and New York Jets would be tied for the lead in the AFC East standings through five weeks, I would’ve laughed in your face. But ahead of the Patriots-Jets’ Week 6 clash, that’s exactly where we sit. Predicting the NFL is hard, folks.
Sportsbook opened the Pats as 9.5-point road faves with a total of 47.5.
- The Patriots are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games in the early afternoon.
- The Patriots are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as favorites.
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of the Patriots’ last 15 games against the Jets.
The negatives for the Patriots can be attributed largely to the defense that ranks near the bottom of the NFL in the majority of defensive categories. The unit looked like it was getting back on track in light of New England’s 19-14 Thursday Night Football triumph over Tampa Bay, but if it wasn’t for Nick Folk’s misadventures while trying to kick field goals, the outcome could’ve easily been different.
Tom Brady has 11 touchdowns compared to one interception, so the ageless wonder is clearly not going to be an issue under center. New England has been getting the job done when it comes to winning outright vs the Jets, evidenced by a 10-2 SU record in their last 12 vs New York, but they haven’t been covering the spread. The Pats are an ugly 1-6-1 ATS in their previous eight vs the Jets, so tread lightly when betting them as big road chalk in this one.
With the majority of their fan base wanting the franchise to tank the season, the Jets have done the opposite and are riding a surprising three-game winning streak heading into the contest. Josh McCown has been serviceable under center for the Jets, as the veteran completed 23 of 30 passes for 194 yards and two touchdowns with an interception in his squad’s Week 5 win over the Cleveland Browns.
OVER bettors are cashing out when the Jets and Pats square off. In the past 15 meetings between the AFC East rivals, the OVER is 11-4.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
The New England Patriots were listed as 9.5-point favorites at sportsbooks such as Sportsbook, with the total listed at 47.
Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas picked a 27-25 win for the Jets. Injuries during the week may cause the formula to be re-run, so check the NFL picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
New England Patriots vs New York Jets Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The New England Patriots will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Sunday, as they are 2-3 versus the spread this season, while the New York Jets are 3-2 ATS. New England is 4-1 against the OVER/UNDER total, while New York is 2-3 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs New England injuries news.
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the New York Jets rated this week at No. 30 and the New England Patriots sitting at No. 2.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits New York's No. 23-ranked offense, averaging 18.4 PPG, against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 30 this week at 28.4 PPG. The Jets aerial game is averaging 189.4 yards per game, less than the Patriots secondary allows through the air, 323 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Patriots own the league's No. 8-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 85.5 yards per game when on the road. New York, on the other hand, rates No. 1 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Tom Brady led the way last time out for the Patriots, connecting for 303 passing yards in a 19-14 victory over the Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium.
Josh McCown passed for 2 touchdowns in his team's last game in leading the Jets past Cleveland 17-14 on Sunday.
- New England is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
- New England is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 9 games
- New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- NY Jets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
- NY Jets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets' last 7 games
- NY Jets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
New England home to Atlanta, Sunday, October 22
New York at Miami, Sunday, October 22
