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Septembers Have Been Sad for the Saints in Recent Seasons

Septembers have not been kind to the Saints. Sean Payton’s boys have now lost eight straight games in the NFL’s opening month and they’ll be looking to avoid a third straight 0-3 start this weekend when they travel to Charlotte, North Carolina for a matchup with the Panthers.

  • The Panthers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home against teams with losing records.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Saints’ last 5 games and in 4 of the last 5 Saints-Panthers games.
  • The Saints are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games as an underdog of 6.0 or more.

Carolina, on the other hand, has started its season 2-0, limiting the Bills and 49ers to six total points and 393 total yards of offense combined. They’ll need the defense to be stiff once again on Sunday with the Cam Newton-led O failing to really get off the ground through two weeks and that will be reeling from the loss of one of the best pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.

Greg Olsen suffered a non-contact foot injury in the Panthers’ last game against the Bills and is expected to miss six weeks. In the meantime, Ed Dickson will see more snaps at TE but Carolina receivers and running backs should expect more footballs to come their way on Sunday with Newton’s security blanket now sidelined.

Now torched in two straight games, the Saints defense looks like it may actually have gotten worse in the offseason. They’ve allowed 512.5 yards of offense per game so far so this could be a good opportunity for the Panthers to get their show on the road.

Two of the last three games between these NFC South rivals have had exactly 79 points and while I don’t expect that to happen again, it’s not ridiculous to think this one could turn into a shootout.

Carolina will be able to move the ball easily on Sunday and I think they’ll score early and very often. Drew Brees, who has become an expert at executing the backdoor cover, will put up points late in a comeback attempt and should push a game that opened with a total of 49 easily OVER.

When the Saints and Panthers met last, they finished with just 43 total points but New Orleans willed out 17 of their 20 in the fourth quarter and they very nearly tied the game. Cam and the boys were not good in that matchup, putting up just 223 yards of total offense. Don’t expect that to happen again.

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Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks, including Bovada, had set the Carolina Panthers as 5.5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was hovering around 49 earlier in the week (check for the current OVER/UNDER lines at BetOnline).

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game picked a potential 29-12 result in favor of the Panthers. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Carolina Panthers currently sport a record of 2-0, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 1-0-1 ATS. The New Orleans Saints are 0-2 and 0-2 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Carolina Panthers post a 0-2 OVER/UNDER record this season, while the New Orleans Saints have gone 2-0 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Carolina vs New Orleans injuries news.

It's a betting matchup between the No. 26-rated Carolina Panthers and the No. 19-ranked New Orleans Saints, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Carolina Panthers' No. 22-ranked offense (16 PPG) against a New Orleans Saints defense that ranks No. 31 at 32.5 PPG. The Panthers passing attack has averaged 174.5 yards per game, less than the Saints give up through the air (388.5 YPG on average).

Defensively, the New Orleans Saints feature the league's No. 21-rated road run defense, allowing 129 yards per game. The Carolina Panthers, meanwhile, ranks No. 22 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Drew Brees's 356-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as New England earned a 36-20 win over New Orleans on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

In their last game, the Panthers were Week 2 winners, coming out on top of the Bills by a score of 9-3.

Betting Trends
  • New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans' last 5 games
  • New Orleans is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
  • New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Carolina is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
  • Carolina is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New Orleans at Miami, Sunday, October 1
Carolina at New England, Sunday, October 1