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Cowboys’ Hot Streak May Go Cold vs Juggernaut Saints

Saints vs Cowboys Betting Odds November 29

The NFL’s most dominant team will take on the league’s most overhyped squad when the New Orleans Saints roll into Jerry World to take on the Dallas Cowboys. The Saints have been on a 10-game heater, beating teams by an average of 16.1 points per game, and are the clear favorite to win the Super Bowl. The Cowboys have been playing some decent ball lately, winning three straight and elevating themselves back into the NFC playoff picture, but will face a tall order to knock off New Orleans.

The Saints opened as 7-point favorites with a total of 53.

SHARK BITES
  • The Saints are 5-0 SU and ATS in 5 road games this season (avg. win margin: 14.1 points per game).
  • The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
  • The OVER has hit in 4 of the last 5 games in this matchup (avg. combined score: 57.8).

Saints vs Cowboys Game Center

Saints Have Been Decimating Teams on the Road

Although the theory exists that you can peak too early in a season in professional sports, I don’t think that applies to New Orleans. The Saints have been rolling teams this season in away games, winning all five road games by an average margin of 14 points, including a 34-point beatdown of the Bengals in their last game away from the Bayou.

Where to begin when it comes to the Saints offense. QB Drew Brees looks to be playing at an all-time MVP level with 29 touchdown passes (3rd in NFL) to only two interceptions and their rushing attack has arguably the best one-two punch in NFL history with Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram. New Orleans has topped 40 points six times this season and is averaging 43.7 points per game in four games this month.

I could write another 500 words on how great the Saints offense is but the sneaky part about why this team is so good is its defense. New Orleans has held its last three opponents below 20 points and is ranked first in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per contest.

All of this gushing about the Saints before I even mention how they rate in gambling terms, which has been very profitable for bettors:

  • 9-2 ATS in 11 games this season
  • 14-3 ATS in last 17 games vs teams with winning records
  • 9-3 ATS in last 12 games vs Cowboys
  • 3-1 ATS in last four games when favored by a touchdown or more
  • 9-0 ATS in last nine games
  • 5-0 ATS in five road games this season

If you want to fade the Saints, be my guest, but don’t say I didn’t warn you about betting against the Super Bowl favorite.

Can the Cowboys Keep it Close?

It’s not quite a David vs Goliath matchup for the Cowboys but it’s easily their toughest matchup of the year and one in which they will be counted out at every turn. Dallas is coming off victories vs the Falcons, Eagles and Redskins that have pushed them back into the playoff discussion in a crowded NFC. The Cowboys are 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in five home games this season and are averaging 26.2 points in those games.

Where the Cowboys have been a standout this season is on defense. Since Week 6, America’s Team has held opponents to only 19.5 points per game while ranking fourth in rushing yards allowed per game and only allowing seven touchdowns. The pass defense has given up a lot of yards (254.5 per game) but only 15 touchdowns, which ranks third.

The key to the Cowboys’ chances in this game will be sustaining long drives and keeping the Saints’ devastating offense off the field. That means at least 25 carries for Ezekiel Elliott, who has been a monster during this three-game win streak with almost 400 rushing yards, four touchdowns and 152 yards receiving.

If bettors are searching for reasons to wager on the Cowboys spread outside of the reasons I just listed, they should know that Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last five TNF games, 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall and 5-2 ATS this season when tabbed as an underdog.

Cowboys’ New-Look Offense Could be a Boon for Totals Bettors

The total opened at 53 in this Thursday Night Football matchup and I’d lean to the OVER in this one. The OVER has hit in eight of the 11 Thursday Night Football games this year with an average combined score of 54.2 points per game and it’s hit in nine of 14 games if you include all three Thanksgiving games. With the way the Saints have been scoring and how the Cowboys offense is now an Undertaker gif, 54 points seems very doable.

My Pick Is…

To take the Saints to cover the spread. Don’t get cute in getting wrapped up in the Cowboys’ three-game win streak – it was against inferior competition. The Saints have dominated teams for 10 straight weeks and I can’t see anything through stats or the eye test that indicates this game will play out differently.