NFL

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

New Orleans
Saints
10 - 2
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
5 - 7
December 09, 2018, 1:00 PM EST
 | Raymond James Stadium

Game Preview

New Orleans
Saints
10 - 2
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
5 - 7
December 09, 2018, 1:00 PM EST
 | Raymond James Stadium
  • The New Orleans Saints saw their 10-game winning streak come to an abrupt end in a 13-10 setback to the Dallas Cowboys in Week 13, and on Sunday they’ll go up against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the only other team to beat them this season. Sportsbooks opened the Saints as 8-point road favorites with a total of 56.

    SHARK BITES
    • The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the Saints’ last 20 games vs the Buccaneers (avg. combined score: 47.1).
    • The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as home underdogs.
    • The Saints are 5-1 SU in their last six games after a loss.

    Saints vs Buccaneers Game Center

    Bucs have been a lights-out bet as home underdogs

    The Buccaneers are coming off a big 24-17 win over the Carolina Panthers last week to give them two victories in a row and improve their record to 5-7 SU. Tampa Bay’s improvement on defense has been noticeable, as the unit came away with four interceptions and four sacks against the Panthers. Since replacing Ryan Fitzpatrick under center, Jameis Winston has thrown for 561 yards and four touchdowns with zero turnovers in the last two games. Tampa Bay ranks 10th in the NFL with 26.5 points per game and leads the league with 442.7 total yards per contest.

    Betting on the Bucs as home underdogs has been a profitable strategy of late. In Tampa Bay’s last four tilts when tabbed as a home dog, it’s 4-0 ATS. The Buccaneers haven’t been as stellar vs divisional opponents, however, going 3-7 SU in their previous 10 vs the NFC South.

    Brees has already lit up Tampa Bay this season

    The Saints’ usual high-octane offense faltered in a major way against the Cowboys, as MVP front-runner Drew Brees was held to only 127 passing yards and a touchdown on 18-of-28 passing. The longtime signal-caller threw only his second interception of the season in the contest.

    Saints bettors will be happy to see Brees and the rest of the Saints offense go up against a Tampa Bay defense that ranks 28th in the NFL with 274.4 passing yards allowed per game. Brees was fantastic in New Orleans’ 48-40 home loss to the Buccaneers in Week 1, passing for 439 yards and three touchdowns with zero picks while completing 37 of 45 throws. Simply put, there’s never been a better option for the Saints’ offensive attack to get back on track.

    When it comes to the total, betting trends are pointing to an UNDER tonight. The UNDER is 14-6 in the past 20 meetings between the Saints and Buccaneers with an average combined score of 47 points. The UNDER is also 5-1 in the Bucs’ past six home games when facing NFC South teams.

    My pick: take the OVER

    While the UNDER trend above looks appealing on paper, I’m expecting this one to go OVER. The Saints offense was out of sorts in Week 13, but the Bucs defense is a far cry from the Cowboys unit. Tampa Bay has proven it can score with ease, and New Orleans is a more than capable partner to keep up the offensive pace. Take the OVER.

Odds

Sunday, December 9 Sun Dec 9


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-7.5
-110
-435
o57.5
-110
+7.5
-110
+335
u57.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
-9.5
-110
-450
o55
-110
+9.5
-110
+375
u55
-110

Edge Finder

19.41
Total Score
18.17
217.00
Passing Yards
273.33
116.76
Rushing Yards
75.56
29:31
Time on Field
29:25
59.71
Number of Plays
68.83
5.59
Yards Per Play
5.07
19.41
Total Score
18.17
3.82
First Quarter
2.83
5.29
Second Quarter
5.33
4.59
Third Quarter
2.83
5.71
Fourth Quarter
7.00
217.00
Passing Yards
273.33
30.12
Pass Attempts
45.39
19.88
Pass Completions
29.67
2.24
Sacks
1.33
16.41
Sack Yards
9.83
10.91
Yards Per Pass
9.21
116.76
Rushing Yards
75.56
27.35
Rush Attempts
22.11
4.27
Yards Per Rush
3.42
0.82
Interceptions
0.61
1.35
Fumbles
1.06
0.65
Fumbles Lost
0.67
1.47
Total Turnovers
1.28
5.82
Penalties
5.67
49.47
Penalty Yards
45.94
29:31
Time on Field
29:25
59.71
Number of Plays
68.83
5.59
Yards Per Play
5.07
4.53
Punts
4.67
46.39
Punt Average
48.86
55.76
Return Yards
67.67

Head To Head

NO
Stat Type TB
6-4
Record
4-6
4-6
ATS
6-4
5-5
O/U
5-5
28.10
Score
24.00
95.40
Rush Yds
108.00
38.20
Pass Attempts
31.80
69.90
Completion %
59.75
299.00
Passing Yds
223.10
394.4
Total Yds
331.1
1.70
Turnovers
1.10
NO
Stat Type TB
1-2
Record
2-1
1-2
ATS
2-1
2-1
O/U
2-1
31.33
Score
29.67
95.33
Rush Yds
103.00
34.00
Pass Attempts
35.67
79.41
Completion %
59.81
306.33
Passing Yds
291.67
401.67
Total Yds
394.67
1.67
Turnovers
1.33
Sep 9/18 (1 of 10)
NO
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
40
Score
48
-10
ATS
+10
49.5 o
O/U
49.5 u
43
Rush Yds
112
45
Pass Attempts
28
82.22
Completion %
75.00
432
Passing Yds
417
475
Total Yds
529
2
Turnovers
0
Dec 31/17 (2 of 10)
NO
Stat Type TB
Away
Home
24
Score
31
-6
ATS
+6
50 o
O/U
50 u
92
Rush Yds
110
30
Pass Attempts
51
73.33
Completion %
54.90
231
Passing Yds
345
323
Total Yds
455
1
Turnovers
3
Nov 5/17 (3 of 10)
NO
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
30
Score
10
-7
ATS
+7
54 o
O/U
54 u
151
Rush Yds
87
27
Pass Attempts
28
81.48
Completion %
53.57
256
Passing Yds
113
407
Total Yds
200
2
Turnovers
1
Dec 24/16 (4 of 10)
NO
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
31
Score
24
-3
ATS
+3
53 o
O/U
53 u
123
Rush Yds
89
34
Pass Attempts
35
67.65
Completion %
65.71
294
Passing Yds
260
417
Total Yds
349
0
Turnovers
2
Dec 11/16 (5 of 10)
NO
Stat Type TB
Away
Home
11
Score
16
+2
ATS
-2
51.5 o
O/U
51.5 u
46
Rush Yds
104
41
Pass Attempts
26
60.98
Completion %
61.54
248
Passing Yds
166
294
Total Yds
270
3
Turnovers
0
Dec 13/15 (6 of 10)
NO
Stat Type TB
Away
Home
24
Score
17
+5.5
ATS
-5.5
51.5 o
O/U
51.5 u
87
Rush Yds
115
41
Pass Attempts
32
75.61
Completion %
56.25
301
Passing Yds
176
388
Total Yds
291
0
Turnovers
0
Sep 20/15 (7 of 10)
NO
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
19
Score
26
-9
ATS
+9
47 o
O/U
47 u
104
Rush Yds
139
38
Pass Attempts
21
63.16
Completion %
66.67
219
Passing Yds
194
323
Total Yds
333
3
Turnovers
2
Dec 28/14 (8 of 10)
NO
Stat Type TB
Away
Home
23
Score
20
-6
ATS
+6
46.5 o
O/U
46.5 u
70
Rush Yds
183
38
Pass Attempts
23
63.16
Completion %
60.87
268
Passing Yds
97
338
Total Yds
280
3
Turnovers
1
Oct 5/14 (9 of 10)
NO
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
37
Score
31
-11
ATS
+11
47.5 o
O/U
47.5 u
140
Rush Yds
66
57
Pass Attempts
32
61.40
Completion %
59.38
371
Passing Yds
248
511
Total Yds
314
3
Turnovers
1
Dec 29/13 (10 of 10)
NO
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
42
Score
17
-10.5
ATS
+10.5
47 o
O/U
47 u
98
Rush Yds
75
31
Pass Attempts
42
77.42
Completion %
52.38
370
Passing Yds
215
468
Total Yds
290
0
Turnovers
1

Team Records

NO
Record TB
10-2
All
5-7
5-1
Home
4-2
5-1
Away
1-5
9-3
ATS
5-6-1
4-2
ATS Home
3-3
5-1
ATS Away
2-3-1
5-7
O/U
8-4
3-3
O/U Home
2-4
2-4
O/U Away
6-0
NO
Record TB
7-2
All
4-5
4-1
Home
3-1
3-1
Away
1-4
7-2
ATS
4-4-1
4-1
ATS Home
3-1
3-1
ATS Away
1-3-1
4-5
O/U
6-3
3-2
O/U Home
1-3
1-3
O/U Away
5-0
NO
Record TB
2-1
All
2-2
1-1
Home
1-0
1-0
Away
1-2
2-1
ATS
2-2
1-1
ATS Home
1-0
1-0
ATS Away
1-2
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
NO
Record TB
9-1
All
3-7
4-0
Home
3-2
5-1
Away
0-5
9-1
ATS
3-6-1
4-0
ATS Home
2-3
5-1
ATS Away
1-3-1
4-6
O/U
6-4
2-2
O/U Home
1-4
2-4
O/U Away
5-0

Gametime Weather

Weather
12:00 pm EST Thunderstorm
22ºC / 72ºF
90% Humidity
76% Precipitation
91% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 11
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Alvin KamaraRBIs OUT first 3 games, Suspension
Marcus MayeSIs OUT next 3 games, Suspension
Jamaal WilliamsRBIs downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Green Bay, Hamstring
Tre'Quan SmithWRIR, Groin
Eno BenjaminRBIs out for season, Achilles
Payton TurnerDEIs out indefinitely, Toe
Kendre MillerRBIs "?" Sunday vs Green Bay, Hamstring
Jake HaenerQBIs OUT first 6 games, Suspension
Name Position Inj Desc
Ryan JensenCIs out indefinitely, Knee
Carlton Davis IIICBIs "?" Monday vs Philadelphia, Toe
Chase EdmondsRBLeft last game, is "?" Monday vs Philadelphia, Knee
Russell GageWRIs out for season, Knee
Calijah KanceyDTIs "?" Monday vs Philadelphia, Calf
SirVocea DennisLBIs "?" Monday vs Philadelphia, Hamstring

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Nov 29, 2018DAL10-13L-7.5/51.5L/U65111176100208308-1
Nov 22, 2018ATL31-17W-12.5/61W/U15016231226340366-3
Nov 18, 2018PHI48-7W-7/56.5W/U17337354658138196-3
Nov 11, 2018CIN51-14W-6/53.5W/O244265509110174284-2
Nov 4, 2018LAR45-35W+2/57W/O141346487923914830
Oct 28, 2018MIN30-20W-2.5/54W/U10616427085338423-1
Oct 21, 2018BAL24-23W+2.5/49.5W/U134205339772743511
Oct 8, 2018WAS43-19W-5.5/51.5W/O9834944739244283-1
Sep 30, 2018NYG33-18W-3/52W/U17021938965234299-2
Sep 23, 2018ATL43-37W+1.5/54W/O143391534483594070
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Dec 2, 2018CAR24-17W+3.5/52W/U95220315168276444-3
Nov 25, 2018SF27-9W-1.5/54.5W/U108304412148194342-2
Nov 18, 2018NYG35-38L+3/54P/O1513595101631963594
Nov 11, 2018WAS3-16L-3.5/51L/U1033985011161702864
Nov 4, 2018CAR28-42L+6/55.5L/O822193011792284072
Oct 28, 2018CIN34-37L+3.5/55W/O1264505761382644024
Oct 21, 2018CLE26-23W-3.5/52.5L/U1143424561191863053
Oct 14, 2018ATL29-34L+3/57.5L/O123389512703464162
Sep 30, 2018CHI10-48L+3/46L/O602513111393444833
Sep 24, 2018PIT27-30L-1/55L/O63392455783354133
View Game Logs