The New York Giants come out of a bye week in good shape, facing one three winless teams in the NFL, the Miami Dolphins.
The Fins led late but were bitten in the ass by former Gator Tim Tebow, who rallied his Broncos past Miami. The Dolphins are now 0-6 SU and ATS on the year.
These teams have only played five times since 1980 and each game went UNDER the total. It could happen again as the Dolphins have played 5 straight UNDERs and 9 of 11 road games.
View Miami vs NY Giants Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
The visitors opened as 10-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark, while the total was hovering around 42 at most shops. The best Giants line was posted at Sportsbook as of friday but check for line moves. Sportsbook had a solid OVER number.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Giants - Dolphins odds would favor the Giants if the lines were set according to power ranks. New York is rated No. 22 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Dolphins sit at No. 24. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 24-13 win for the Giants.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits New York's No. 9-ranked offense, averaging 25.7 PPG, against a Dolphins defense that ranks No. 22 this week at 24.3 PPG. The Giants aerial game is averaging 278.2 yards per game, more than the Dolphins secondary allows through the air, 257.5 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Dolphins feature the league's No. 5-rated road run defense, allowing 96.7 yards per game. New York, meanwhile, ranks No. 23 in rushing offense at home.
Miami was a 18-15 loser in its last match at home against the Broncos. They failed to cover the 1–point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 33 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. The Dolphins suffered a Week 7 loss against Denver in their last game, falling 18-15 at Sun Life Stadium.
New York won its last outing, a 27-24 result against the Bills on October 16. The Giants earned a push in that game as a 3-point favorite, while the 51 combined points took the game OVER the total. Buffalo wasn't able to contain Ahmad Bradshaw in their last game and the result was a 27-24 Week 6 loss against the Giants.
Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 2-8
New York Giants Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few Dolphins at Giants trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 11 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 6 games
NY Giants are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games at home
Next up:
Miami at Kansas City, Sunday, November 6
NY Giants at New England, Sunday, November 6
