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New York hasn’t shown much bite as an underdog

The New York Jets are just 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Jets figure to be an underdog in just about every game they play this season, starting with their opening-week road game against the Buffalo Bills.

Shark Bites
  • The Jets are 2-5 SU and ATS in their last seven games against the Bills.
  • The Bills are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 1.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Bills’ last 12 games.

After a respectable 10-6 SU and 8-6-2 ATS campaign in 2015, the wheels fell off for the Jets last year as the team stumbled to a 5-11 SU and 6-9-1 ATS record. New York cut ties with a handful of key veterans this offseason, including Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker, Nick Mangold and Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Jets ranked 30th in the NFL in offense last season with 17.2 points per game, and things could get even worse on that side of the ball this year.

Led by LeSean McCoy and his 1,267 rushing yards on 234 carries, the Bills owned the best rushing attack in the NFL last season, averaging 164.4 yards per game on the ground. Conversely, Buffalo ranked 30th in the NFL in passing with only 189.8 passing yards per game. To improve on last year’s 7-9 SU and 6-9-1 ATS record, Tyrod Taylor or another quarterback on the roster will need to take a step forward in the passing game.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The New York Jets betting odds line opened as 5.5-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including BetOnline), while the total was hovering around 41.5 at most shops.

OddsShark prediction models picked the Bills to win this game on Sunday 21-17. Check the picks page or matchup report during the week as factors may cause that prediction to be re-run. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New York Jets will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Sunday, as they went 6-9-1 ATS versus the spread last season, while the Buffalo Bills were 6-9-1 ATS. New York was 7-8-1 against the OVER/UNDER total, while Buffalo was 12-4 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Buffalo vs New York injuries news.

The Buffalo Bills sit at No. 26 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the New York Jets are at No. 28 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Buffalo Bills No. 10-ranked offense (24.94 PPG) last year against a New York Jets defense that ranked No. 28 at 25.56 PPG. The Bills passing attack averaged 189.69 yards per game, less than the Jets gave up through the air (243.75 YPG on average).

Defensively, the New York Jets featured the league's No. 23-rated road run defense, allowing 119.63 yards per game. The Buffalo Bills, meanwhile, ranked No. 1 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Buffalo was unable to contain Bilal Powell in its last action and the result was a 30-10 Week 17 loss against the Jets.

Betting Trends
  • NY Jets is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets' last 7 games
  • NY Jets is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • NY Jets is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
  • Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New York at Oakland, Sunday, September 17
Buffalo at Carolina, Sunday, September 17